|
Local Results for Portland, ME Day 8 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
|
| Max: (51°F) Min: (32°F) Wind (10 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 8|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 21.3 )ginger (isu) logank (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.0 )bschwe (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 41 )billga (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -149 )bengel (isu) |
|
Period
|
Forecaster
|
Day 8 Forecast
|
Day 8 Error
|
Cumulative Error
|
Normalized
|
|
Rank
Prev
Change
|Name Sch
Gr
Abs
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
  |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
City
Cumu.
Rank
|
|
88
112
24
|USL21Zxxx
8
|
53
31
10
0.00
|
2
1
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
18
27
7.013.1
0
65.1 |-3.81-2.22
78
|
|
162
189
27
|USL12Zxxx
8
|
52
30
13
0.00
|
1
2
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
20
34
8.07.4
0
69.4 |-2.53-1.53
123
|
|
423
535
112
|ETANAMxxx
8
|
52
33
10
0.00
|
1
1
0.00.0
0
2.0 |
18
37
15.59.0
0
79.5 |0.481.37
428
|
|
468
437
-31
| NWSxxx
8
|
55
30
12
0.00
|
4
2
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
27
28
12.014.0
0
81.0 |0.921.37
427
|
|
480
331
-149
| NGMxxx
8
|
48
34
22
0.00
|
3
2
6.00.0
0
11.0 |
16
27
13.524.8
0
81.3 |1.011.71
460
|
|
797
780
-17
|GFSAVNxxx
8
|
55
36
7
0.00
|
4
4
1.50.0
0
9.5 |
34
28
18.021.6
0
101.6 |7.063.02
586
|
|
989
863
-126
|PERSISxxx
8
|
63
38
19
0.00
|
12
6
4.50.0
0
22.5 |
50
54
16.02.4
0
122.4 |13.2516.10
1116
|
|
1147
1172
25
|CLIMO0xxx
8
|
52
33
3
0.00
|
1
1
3.50.0
0
5.5 |
59
51
41.01.6
0
152.6 |22.2419.41
1177
|
|
1247
1251
4
|CLIMO_xxx
8
|
52
33
3
0.16
|
1
1
3.55.8
0
11.3 |
59
51
41.043.3
0
194.3 |34.6623.80
1221
|
|
386
404
18
|CONSENxxx
9
|
54
34
10
0.00
|
3
2
0.00.0
0
5.0 |
24
30
12.011.9
0
77.9 |0.000.00
275
|
|
563
540
-23
|CONSENisu
9
|
56
34
10
0.01
|
5
2
0.00.4
0
7.4 |
26
32
14.512.5
0
85.0 |2.110.07
279
|
|
108
139
31
|bschweisu
3
|
51
34
12
0.00
|
0
2
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
21
18
17.59.8
0
66.3 |-3.450.96
399
|
|
110
82
-28
|prentiisu
3
|
57
33
10
0.00
|
6
1
0.00.0
0
7.0 |
25
22
9.010.4
0
66.4 |-3.42-1.78
98
|
|
145
145
0
|conoanisu
3
|
54
33
12
0.00
|
3
1
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
17
27
11.513.0
0
68.5 |-2.800.38
323
|
|
241
282
41
|billgaisu
1
|
53
34
10
0.00
|
2
2
0.00.0
0
4.0 |
17
29
16.010.2
0
72.2 |-1.70-0.34
241
|
|
281
158
-123
|morrisisu
3
|
57
35
9
0.00
|
6
3
0.50.0
0
9.5 |
27
27
15.54.0
0
73.5 |-1.310.56
341
|
|
308
191
-117
|bworthisu
3
|
58
34
8
0.00
|
7
2
1.00.0
0
10.0 |
26
24
16.09.0
0
75.0 |-0.861.25
420
|
|
National Consensus
|
|
392
424
32
|jddudaisu
3
|
53
34
11
0.00
|
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
25
30
11.511.5
0
78.0 |0.032.97
582
|
|
468
406
-62
|jhobbsisu
2
|
56
34
8
0.00
|
5
2
1.00.0
0
8.0 |
23
33
15.010.0
0
81.0 |0.92-0.19
256
|
|
468
406
-62
|schaffisu
3
|
55
35
12
0.00
|
4
3
1.00.0
0
8.0 |
28
33
12.57.5
0
81.0 |0.920.95
397
|
|
480
331
-149
|bengelisu
3
|
59
34
8
0.00
|
8
2
1.00.0
0
11.0 |
35
25
12.58.8
0
81.3 |1.010.08
281
|
|
506
467
-39
|gehrtsisu
3
|
55
35
9
0.00
|
4
3
0.50.0
0
7.5 |
26
28
15.013.3
0
82.3 |1.31-0.70
204
|
|
509
472
-37
|rall89isu
4
|
56
33
13
0.00
|
5
1
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
25
28
14.515.0
0
82.5 |1.37-0.45
223
|
|
524
508
-16
|mcneilisu
3
|
55
33
7
0.00
|
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
28
30
16.58.4
0
82.9 |1.494.81
721
|
|
Local Consensus
|
|
615
571
-44
|dfloryisu
1
|
56
35
9
0.00
|
5
3
0.50.0
0
8.5 |
36
27
13.511.1
0
87.6 |2.891.49
436
|
|
698
640
-58
|omegaxisu
4
|
59
30
12
0.00
|
8
2
1.00.0
0
11.0 |
33
38
13.09.3
0
93.3 |4.591.89
486
|
|
771
752
-19
|MPHoffisu
4
|
56
36
10
0.00
|
5
4
0.00.0
0
9.0 |
33
35
13.017.9
0
98.9 |6.257.75
874
|
|
793
742
-51
|srab24isu
4
|
60
35
10
0.00
|
9
3
0.00.0
0
12.0 |
34
35
14.517.6
0
101.1 |6.916.44
802
|
|
877
838
-39
|adeppeisu
3
|
58
36
6
0.00
|
7
4
2.00.0
0
13.0 |
35
40
23.511.5
0
110.0 |9.563.45
625
|
|
898
770
-128
|gingerisu
3
1
|
52
33
3
0.16
C |
1
1
3.55.8
10
21.3 |
28
37
28.09.4
10
112.4 |10.2715.62
1108
|
|
930
954
24
|elboalisu
4
1
|
54
35
9
0.00
|
3
3
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
35
42
18.59.8
10
115.3 |11.149.32
940
|
|
1060
980
-80
|logankisu
3
2
|
52
33
3
0.16
C |
1
1
3.55.8
10
21.3 |
29
37
30.017.3
20
133.3 |16.4912.11
1020
|
|
1099
1105
6
|rach87isu
4
|
57
29
7
0.00
|
6
3
1.50.0
0
10.5 |
36
59
23.523.6
0
142.1 |19.1111.34
1001
|
|
1145
1133
-12
|cskallisu
4
1
|
61
34
14
0.00
|
10
2
2.00.0
0
14.0 |
55
49
25.512.9
10
152.4 |22.1836.32
1299
|
|
1151
1184
33
|shomtmisu
3
1
|
52
31
6
0.00
|
1
1
2.00.0
0
4.0 |
40
61
30.013.5
10
154.5 |22.817.67
869
|
|
1153
1149
-4
|jedmonisu
3
2
|
56
38
6
0.00
|
5
6
2.00.0
0
13.0 |
46
53
22.513.4
20
154.9 |22.930.82
378
|
|
1179
1159
-20
|emilyeisu
4
2
|
60
31
10
0.25
|
9
1
0.08.5
0
18.5 |
36
34
26.046.5
20
162.5 |25.1918.63
1166
|
|
1253
1256
3
|hamhamisu
3
3
|
58
36
10
0.00
|
7
4
0.00.0
0
11.0 |
55
57
28.028.9
30
198.9 |36.0318.00
1154
|
| Verification : Day 1 : 74/60/16/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 59/32/13/0.00
Day 2 : 65/50/12/0.02 ...... Day 6 : 58/33/15/0.00
Day 3 : 59/37/12/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 63/38/19/0.00
Day 4 : 57/34/9/0.02 ...... Day 8 : 51/32/10/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 77.90 Consensus Standard Deviation: 33.59|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 72.2 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 81.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 66.3 )bschwe (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 82.5 )rall89 (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
|