|
Local Results for Portland, ME Day 4 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (57°F) Min: (34°F) Wind (9 knots) Precip: 0.02" - Final Day 4|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 28.2 )rach87 (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 2.8 )mcneil (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 204 )mcneil (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -432 )emilye (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 4 Forecast
|
Day 4 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
183
14
-169
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
59
40
11
0.12
 |
2
6
1.03.8
0
12.8 |
13
21
5.06.2
0
45.2 |-2.55-1.54
109
 |
|
347
180
-167
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
59
38
10
0.10
 |
2
4
0.53.2
0
9.7 |
13
18
5.013.1
0
49.1 |-0.83-1.48
117
 |
|
352
226
-126
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
58
37
7
0.12
 |
1
3
1.03.8
0
8.8 |
13
20
8.57.8
0
49.3 |-0.751.07
413
 |
|
590
844
254
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
57
35
9
0.00
 |
0
1
0.00.8
0
1.8 |
7
20
3.524.4
0
54.9 |1.711.89
491
 |
|
680
767
87
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
59
36
5
0.00
 |
2
2
2.00.8
0
6.8 |
20
17
7.014.0
0
58.0 |3.071.91
495
 |
|
875
1035
160
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
55
34
7
0.03
 |
2
0
1.00.4
0
3.4 |
23
16
5.521.2
0
65.7 |6.453.02
598
 |
|
889
980
91
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
59
38
12
0.00
 |
2
4
1.50.8
0
8.3 |
20
38
6.52.4
0
66.9 |6.9814.53
1113
 |
|
1180
1201
21
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
54
34
3
0.00
 |
3
0
3.00.8
0
6.8 |
36
42
18.51.6
0
98.1 |20.6719.02
1187
 |
|
1242
1253
11
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
54
34
3
0.15
 |
3
0
3.04.7
0
10.7 |
36
42
18.520.4
0
116.9 |28.9223.25
1229
 |
|
421
427
6
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
58
38
8
0.05
 |
1
4
0.51.2
0
6.7 |
15
19
5.511.5
0
51.0 |0.000.00
275
 |
|
599
604
5
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
58
38
8
0.07
 |
1
4
0.52.0
0
7.5 |
16
21
6.511.7
0
55.2 |1.840.07
288
 |
|
160
250
90
 |conoanisu
3
 |
57
36
9
0.06
 |
0
2
0.01.6
0
3.6 |
10
16
5.513.0
0
44.5 |-2.850.36
327
 |
|
191
266
75
 |bworthisu
3
 |
59
35
8
0.00
 |
2
1
0.50.8
0
4.3 |
17
12
7.59.0
0
45.5 |-2.410.86
382
 |
|
205
183
-22
 |bschweisu
3
 |
58
34
18
0.00
 |
1
0
4.50.8
0
6.3 |
16
11
9.09.8
0
45.8 |-2.281.25
441
 |
|
222
219
-3
 |morrisisu
3
 |
58
37
7
0.05
 |
1
3
1.01.2
0
6.2 |
17
19
6.54.0
0
46.5 |-1.970.40
334
 |
|
237
352
115
 |billgaisu
1
 |
57
36
8
0.05
 |
0
2
0.51.2
0
3.7 |
9
19
8.510.2
0
46.7 |-1.89-0.39
234
 |
|
248
280
32
 |prentiisu
3
 |
59
35
11
0.06
 |
2
1
1.01.6
0
5.6 |
15
17
5.59.6
0
47.1 |-1.71-1.36
123
 |
|
308
437
129
 |schaffisu
3
 |
58
36
7
0.02
 |
1
2
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
18
18
5.07.5
0
48.5 |-1.100.45
338
 |
|
421
579
158
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
57
36
7
0.00
 |
0
2
1.00.8
0
3.8 |
14
20
7.010.0
0
51.0 |-0.00-0.42
232
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
444
648
204
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
57
35
7
0.00
 |
0
1
1.00.8
0
2.8 |
18
20
5.58.0
0
51.5 |0.224.49
718
 |
|
461
514
53
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
59
37
8
0.03
 |
2
3
0.50.4
0
5.9 |
16
19
6.510.3
0
51.8 |0.353.06
605
 |
|
493
589
96
 |rall89isu
4
 |
59
35
7
0.05
 |
2
1
1.01.2
0
5.2 |
16
15
6.515.0
0
52.5 |0.66-0.63
215
 |
|
519
709
190
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
58
35
8
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.8
0
3.3 |
17
17
6.512.5
0
53.0 |0.88-0.70
203
 |
|
569
668
99
 |bengelisu
3
 |
59
36
8
0.00
 |
2
2
0.50.8
0
5.3 |
19
18
8.58.8
0
54.3 |1.450.19
306
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
700
815
115
 |gingerisu
3
 |
57
38
6
0.00
 |
0
4
1.50.8
0
6.3 |
20
22
13.03.6
0
58.6 |3.3413.89
1095
 |
|
745
821
76
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
59
37
7
0.06
 |
2
3
1.01.6
0
7.6 |
25
18
6.011.1
0
60.1 |3.991.76
480
 |
|
782
884
102
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
61
36
8
0.00
 |
4
2
0.50.8
0
7.3 |
16
30
6.09.3
0
61.3 |4.521.88
490
 |
|
787
972
185
 |elboalisu
4
 |
58
33
8
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.8
0
3.3 |
20
30
7.54.0
0
61.5 |4.617.69
897
 |
|
830
945
115
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
59
37
7
0.00
 |
2
3
1.00.8
0
6.8 |
20
24
8.011.5
0
63.5 |5.492.44
545
 |
|
898
683
-215
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
61
40
5
0.20
 |
4
6
2.06.2
0
18.2 |
24
19
6.517.9
0
67.4 |7.207.98
911
 |
|
901
947
46
 |srab24isu
4
 |
57
39
7
0.15
 |
0
5
1.04.7
0
10.7 |
19
24
7.017.6
0
67.6 |7.286.53
832
 |
|
987
555
-432
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
60
44
8
0.50
 |
3
10
0.512.7
0
26.2 |
10
27
9.526.4
0
72.9 |9.6114.74
1117
 |
|
1037
944
-93
 |logankisu
3
1
 |
54
34
3
0.15
C |
3
0
3.04.7
10
20.7 |
24
20
12.510.7
10
77.2 |11.5010.86
1012
 |
|
1123
1080
-43
 |cskallisu
4
1
 |
54
34
3
0.15
C |
3
0
3.04.7
10
20.7 |
30
26
8.512.9
10
87.4 |15.9734.77
1301
 |
|
1138
1047
-91
 |rach87isu
4
 |
59
49
4
0.30
 |
2
15
2.58.7
0
28.2 |
24
33
12.022.4
0
91.4 |17.7310.99
1021
 |
|
1224
1195
-29
 |jedmonisu
3
2
 |
54
34
3
0.15
C |
3
0
3.04.7
10
20.7 |
31
34
12.513.4
20
110.9 |26.290.82
376
 |
|
1235
1249
14
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
56
38
5
0.10
 |
1
4
2.03.2
0
10.2 |
31
41
14.517.6
10
114.1 |27.6917.33
1161
 |
|
1238
1229
-9
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
57
50
4
0.00
 |
0
16
2.50.8
0
19.3 |
34
46
16.09.5
10
115.5 |28.317.67
895
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 74/60/16/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 59/32/13/0.00
Day 2 : 65/50/12/0.02 ...... Day 6 : 58/33/15/0.00
Day 3 : 59/37/12/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 63/38/19/0.00
Day 4 : 57/34/9/0.02 ...... Day 8 : 51/32/10/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 51.00 Consensus Standard Deviation: 22.79|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 46.7 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 51.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 44.5 )conoan (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 52.5 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |