|
Local Results for Portland, ME Day 3 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (59°F) Min: (37°F) Wind (12 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 3|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 18.0 )logank (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 4.0 )bschwe (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 210 )bschwe (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -372 )logank (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 3 Forecast
|
Day 3 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
14
7
-7
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
62
42
7
0.00
 |
3
5
2.50.0
0
10.5 |
11
15
4.02.4
0
32.4 |-5.78-2.35
46
 |
|
180
30
-150
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
62
44
5
0.00
 |
3
7
3.50.0
0
13.5 |
11
14
4.59.9
0
39.4 |-2.38-1.87
72
 |
|
226
334
108
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
61
41
12
0.00
 |
2
4
0.00.0
0
6.0 |
12
17
7.54.0
0
40.5 |-1.850.79
373
 |
|
767
653
-114
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
56
42
5
0.00
 |
3
5
3.50.0
0
11.5 |
18
15
5.013.2
0
51.2 |3.351.98
507
 |
|
844
1007
163
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
59
41
10
0.00
 |
0
4
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
7
19
3.523.6
0
53.1 |4.282.53
561
 |
|
980
602
-378
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
65
50
12
0.02
 |
6
13
0.00.8
0
19.8 |
18
34
5.01.6
0
58.6 |6.9514.52
1125
 |
|
1035
1031
-4
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
66
43
12
0.00
 |
7
6
0.00.0
0
13.0 |
21
16
4.520.8
0
62.3 |8.743.02
605
 |
|
1201
1213
12
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
55
35
3
0.00
 |
4
2
4.50.0
0
10.5 |
33
42
15.50.8
0
91.3 |22.8319.56
1200
 |
|
1253
1261
8
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
55
35
3
0.15
 |
4
2
4.55.5
0
16.0 |
33
42
15.515.7
0
106.2 |30.0723.54
1241
 |
|
427
515
88
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
59
41
7
0.01
 |
0
4
2.50.4
0
6.9 |
14
15
5.010.3
0
44.3 |0.000.00
276
 |
|
604
666
62
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
58
41
7
0.01
 |
1
4
2.50.4
0
7.9 |
15
17
6.09.7
0
47.7 |1.650.07
281
 |
|
183
393
210
 |bschweisu
3
 |
58
38
8
0.00
 |
1
1
2.00.0
0
4.0 |
15
11
4.59.0
0
39.5 |-2.331.24
429
 |
|
219
201
-18
 |morrisisu
3
 |
58
43
9
0.00
 |
1
6
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
16
16
5.52.8
0
40.3 |-1.940.40
327
 |
|
250
403
153
 |conoanisu
3
 |
60
38
8
0.03
 |
1
1
2.01.2
0
5.2 |
10
14
5.511.4
0
40.9 |-1.650.66
355
 |
|
266
432
166
 |bworthisu
3
 |
59
39
6
0.00
 |
0
2
3.00.0
0
5.0 |
15
11
7.08.2
0
41.2 |-1.511.09
410
 |
|
280
451
171
 |prentiisu
3
 |
59
40
8
0.00
 |
0
3
2.00.0
0
5.0 |
13
16
4.58.0
0
41.5 |-1.36-1.27
128
 |
|
352
423
71
 |billgaisu
1
 |
59
41
6
0.00
 |
0
4
3.00.0
0
7.0 |
9
17
8.09.0
0
43.0 |-0.63-0.08
259
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
437
423
-14
 |schaffisu
3
 |
58
42
7
0.00
 |
1
5
2.50.0
0
8.5 |
17
16
4.07.5
0
44.5 |0.100.74
365
 |
|
514
676
162
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
58
39
6
0.00
 |
1
2
3.00.0
0
6.0 |
14
16
6.09.9
0
45.9 |0.783.16
621
 |
|
555
229
-326
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
56
42
8
0.10
 |
3
5
2.04.0
0
14.0 |
7
17
9.013.7
0
46.7 |1.1712.62
1073
 |
|
579
587
8
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
58
42
7
0.00
 |
1
5
2.50.0
0
8.5 |
14
18
6.09.2
0
47.2 |1.41-0.07
260
 |
|
589
786
197
 |rall89isu
4
 |
59
40
7
0.00
 |
0
3
2.50.0
0
5.5 |
14
14
5.513.8
0
47.3 |1.46-0.43
222
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
648
653
5
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
57
41
6
0.00
 |
2
4
3.00.0
0
9.0 |
18
19
4.57.2
0
48.7 |2.144.97
762
 |
|
668
612
-56
 |bengelisu
3
 |
55
40
6
0.00
 |
4
3
3.00.0
0
10.0 |
17
16
8.08.0
0
49.0 |2.280.30
307
 |
|
683
837
154
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
58
35
6
0.00
 |
1
2
3.00.0
0
6.0 |
20
13
4.511.7
0
49.2 |2.386.78
864
 |
|
709
818
109
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
60
41
8
0.00
 |
1
4
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
16
16
6.011.7
0
49.7 |2.62-0.70
192
 |
|
815
965
150
 |gingerisu
3
 |
58
36
5
0.00
 |
1
1
3.50.0
0
5.5 |
20
18
11.52.8
0
52.3 |3.8914.03
1109
 |
|
821
830
9
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
56
41
7
0.00
 |
3
4
2.50.0
0
9.5 |
23
15
5.09.5
0
52.5 |3.981.76
483
 |
|
884
773
-111
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
60
45
5
0.00
 |
1
8
3.50.0
0
12.5 |
12
28
5.58.5
0
54.0 |4.711.92
500
 |
|
944
572
-372
 |logankisu
3
 |
62
48
4
0.00
 |
3
11
4.00.0
0
18.0 |
21
20
9.56.0
0
56.5 |5.939.47
976
 |
|
945
879
-66
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
60
44
3
0.00
 |
1
7
4.50.0
0
12.5 |
18
21
7.010.7
0
56.7 |6.022.57
566
 |
|
947
744
-203
 |srab24isu
4
 |
64
46
8
0.00
 |
5
9
2.00.0
0
16.0 |
19
19
6.012.9
0
56.9 |6.126.24
840
 |
|
972
973
1
 |elboalisu
4
 |
54
42
10
0.00
 |
5
5
1.00.0
0
11.0 |
19
29
7.03.2
0
58.2 |6.758.23
935
 |
|
1047
1101
54
 |rach87isu
4
 |
58
35
4
0.02
 |
1
2
4.00.8
0
7.8 |
22
18
9.513.7
0
63.2 |9.188.85
956
 |
|
1080
1100
20
 |cskallisu
4
 |
51
36
7
0.00
 |
8
1
2.50.0
0
11.5 |
27
26
5.58.2
0
66.7 |10.8833.49
1298
 |
|
1195
1208
13
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
60
45
8
0.00
 |
1
8
2.00.0
0
11.0 |
28
34
9.58.7
10
90.2 |22.300.82
380
 |
|
1229
1249
20
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
54
37
5
0.00
 |
5
0
3.50.0
0
8.5 |
34
30
13.58.7
10
96.2 |25.217.67
912
 |
|
1249
1268
19
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
58
44
5
0.00
 |
1
7
3.50.0
0
11.5 |
30
37
12.514.4
10
103.9 |28.9617.64
1175
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 74/60/16/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 59/32/13/0.00
Day 2 : 65/50/12/0.02 ...... Day 6 : 58/33/15/0.00
Day 3 : 59/37/12/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 63/38/19/0.00
Day 4 : 57/34/9/0.02 ...... Day 8 : 51/32/10/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 44.30 Consensus Standard Deviation: 20.58|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 43.0 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 47.2 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 39.5 )bschwe (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 46.7 )emilye (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |