|
Local Results for Portland, ME Day 2 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (65°F) Min: (50°F) Wind (12 knots) Precip: 0.02" - Final Day 2|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 30.2 )rach87 (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 10.5 )schaff (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 452 )schaff (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -283 )omegax (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 2 Forecast
|
Day 2 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
7
43
36
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
63
47
11
0.00
 |
2
3
0.50.8
0
6.3 |
8
10
1.52.4
0
21.9 |-5.76-2.34
39
 |
|
30
31
1
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
62
46
11
0.11
 |
3
4
0.53.5
0
11.0 |
8
7
1.09.9
0
25.9 |-4.27-2.34
40
 |
|
334
785
451
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
64
45
5
0.03
 |
1
5
3.50.4
0
9.9 |
10
13
7.54.0
0
34.5 |-1.080.98
405
 |
|
602
84
-518
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
74
60
16
0.00
 |
9
10
2.00.8
0
21.8 |
12
21
5.00.8
0
38.8 |0.5212.92
1103
 |
|
653
517
-136
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
60
46
9
0.23
 |
5
4
1.57.1
0
17.6 |
15
10
1.513.2
0
39.7 |0.851.35
456
 |
|
1007
955
-52
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
62
44
9
0.44
 |
3
6
1.511.5
0
22.0 |
7
15
2.523.6
0
48.1 |3.972.45
578
 |
|
1031
977
-54
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
59
48
7
0.48
 |
6
2
2.512.3
0
22.8 |
14
10
4.520.8
0
49.3 |4.422.66
597
 |
|
1213
1200
-13
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
55
35
3
0.00
 |
10
15
4.50.8
0
30.3 |
29
40
11.00.8
0
80.8 |16.1217.88
1198
 |
|
1261
1202
-59
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
55
35
3
0.15
 |
10
15
4.54.7
0
34.2 |
29
40
11.010.2
0
90.2 |19.6120.93
1237
 |
|
515
614
99
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
59
47
10
0.14
 |
6
3
1.04.4
0
14.4 |
14
11
2.59.9
0
37.4 |0.000.00
278
 |
|
666
646
-20
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
59
45
9
0.13
 |
6
5
1.54.1
0
16.6 |
14
13
3.59.3
0
39.8 |0.890.04
285
 |
|
201
139
-62
 |morrisisu
3
 |
59
45
9
0.05
 |
6
5
1.51.2
0
13.7 |
15
10
4.02.8
0
31.8 |-2.080.37
335
 |
|
229
84
-145
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
66
52
18
0.35
 |
1
2
3.09.7
0
15.7 |
4
12
7.09.7
0
32.7 |-1.7511.90
1077
 |
|
393
818
425
 |bschweisu
3
 |
61
51
10
0.15
 |
4
1
1.04.7
0
10.7 |
14
10
2.59.0
0
35.5 |-0.711.65
490
 |
|
403
433
30
 |conoanisu
3
 |
62
44
8
0.10
 |
3
6
2.03.2
0
14.2 |
9
13
3.510.2
0
35.7 |-0.630.92
399
 |
|
423
658
235
 |billgaisu
1
 |
64
45
7
0.13
 |
1
5
2.54.1
0
12.6 |
9
13
5.09.0
0
36.0 |-0.52-0.05
269
 |
|
423
875
452
 |schaffisu
3
 |
61
47
9
0.07
 |
4
3
1.52.0
0
10.5 |
16
11
1.57.5
0
36.0 |-0.520.59
358
 |
|
432
669
237
 |bworthisu
3
 |
59
47
7
0.05
 |
6
3
2.51.2
0
12.7 |
15
9
4.08.2
0
36.2 |-0.451.35
457
 |
|
451
401
-50
 |prentiisu
3
 |
59
45
9
0.09
 |
6
5
1.52.8
0
15.3 |
13
13
2.58.0
0
36.5 |-0.33-1.01
148
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
572
309
-263
 |logankisu
3
 |
56
53
4
0.07
 |
9
3
4.02.0
0
18.0 |
18
9
5.56.0
0
38.5 |0.418.09
955
 |
|
587
542
-45
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
59
47
11
0.22
 |
6
3
0.56.8
0
16.3 |
13
13
3.59.2
0
38.7 |0.48-0.30
239
 |
|
612
756
144
 |bengelisu
3
 |
61
43
8
0.06
 |
4
7
2.01.6
0
14.6 |
13
13
5.08.0
0
39.0 |0.59-0.02
272
 |
|
653
557
-96
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
58
44
10
0.10
 |
7
6
1.03.2
0
17.2 |
16
15
1.57.2
0
39.7 |0.854.65
767
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
676
480
-196
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
59
45
9
0.18
 |
6
5
1.55.6
0
18.1 |
13
14
3.09.9
0
39.9 |0.933.20
653
 |
|
744
999
255
 |srab24isu
4
 |
59
48
10
0.16
 |
6
2
1.05.0
0
14.0 |
14
10
4.012.9
0
40.9 |1.305.04
796
 |
|
773
490
-283
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
61
42
10
0.21
 |
4
8
1.06.5
0
19.5 |
11
20
2.08.5
0
41.5 |1.521.13
424
 |
|
786
958
172
 |rall89isu
4
 |
60
47
8
0.18
 |
5
3
2.05.6
0
15.6 |
14
11
3.013.8
0
41.8 |1.63-0.38
227
 |
|
818
822
4
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
58
46
9
0.17
 |
7
4
1.55.3
0
17.8 |
15
12
4.011.7
0
42.7 |1.97-0.70
189
 |
|
830
712
-118
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
54
45
9
0.06
 |
11
5
1.51.6
0
19.1 |
20
11
2.59.5
0
43.0 |2.081.28
445
 |
|
837
614
-223
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
54
44
12
0.10
 |
11
6
0.03.2
0
20.2 |
19
11
1.511.7
0
43.2 |2.156.72
900
 |
|
879
1041
162
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
57
45
8
0.05
 |
8
5
2.01.2
0
16.2 |
17
14
2.510.7
0
44.2 |2.531.70
493
 |
|
965
1019
54
 |gingerisu
3
 |
57
43
5
0.00
 |
8
7
3.50.8
0
19.3 |
19
17
8.02.8
0
46.8 |3.4913.93
1133
 |
|
973
1140
167
 |elboalisu
4
 |
57
46
12
0.10
 |
8
4
0.03.2
0
15.2 |
14
24
6.03.2
0
47.2 |3.647.45
927
 |
|
1100
1136
36
 |cskallisu
4
 |
59
34
11
0.05
 |
6
16
0.51.2
0
23.7 |
19
25
3.08.2
0
55.2 |6.6132.43
1309
 |
|
1101
862
-239
 |rach87isu
4
 |
55
41
5
0.25
 |
10
9
3.57.7
0
30.2 |
21
16
5.512.9
0
55.4 |6.698.23
960
 |
|
1208
1203
-5
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
57
49
10
0.10
 |
8
1
1.03.2
0
13.2 |
27
26
7.58.7
10
79.2 |15.530.82
393
 |
|
1249
1203
-46
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
55
45
5
0.10
 |
10
5
3.53.2
0
21.7 |
29
30
10.08.7
10
87.7 |18.687.67
938
 |
|
1268
1203
-65
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
55
45
7
0.31
 |
10
5
2.58.9
0
26.4 |
29
30
9.014.4
10
92.4 |20.4315.51
1166
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 74/60/16/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 59/32/13/0.00
Day 2 : 65/50/12/0.02 ...... Day 6 : 58/33/15/0.00
Day 3 : 59/37/12/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 63/38/19/0.00
Day 4 : 57/34/9/0.02 ...... Day 8 : 51/32/10/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 37.40 Consensus Standard Deviation: 26.92|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 36.0 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 38.7 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 31.8 )morris (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 32.7 )emilye (isu) |
|
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 |