|
Local Results for Portland, ME Day 1 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (74°F) Min: (60°F) Wind (16 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 1|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 66.0 )jedmon (isu) shomtm (isu) hamham (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 17.0 )emilye (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 0 )|
| Biggest Decrease : ( 0 )|
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 1 Forecast
|
Day 1 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
31
0
0
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
69
57
17
0.18
 |
5
3
0.56.4
0
14.9 |
5
3
0.56.4
0
14.9 |-4.70-2.44
34
 |
|
43
0
0
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
68
53
18
0.04
 |
6
7
1.01.6
0
15.6 |
6
7
1.01.6
0
15.6 |-4.29-1.97
57
 |
|
84
0
0
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
77
49
10
0.00
 |
3
11
3.00.0
0
17.0 |
3
11
3.00.0
0
17.0 |-3.4811.92
1085
 |
|
517
0
0
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
64
54
16
0.17
 |
10
6
0.06.1
0
22.1 |
10
6
0.06.1
0
22.1 |-0.521.01
423
 |
|
785
0
0
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
65
52
8
0.09
 |
9
8
4.03.6
0
24.6 |
9
8
4.03.6
0
24.6 |0.931.48
479
 |
|
955
0
0
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
70
51
14
0.43
 |
4
9
1.012.1
0
26.1 |
4
9
1.012.1
0
26.1 |1.801.91
538
 |
|
977
0
0
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
66
52
12
0.25
 |
8
8
2.08.5
0
26.5 |
8
8
2.08.5
0
26.5 |2.032.07
562
 |
|
1200
0
0
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
55
35
3
0.00
 |
19
25
6.50.0
0
50.5 |
19
25
6.50.0
0
50.5 |15.9517.84
1206
 |
|
1202
0
0
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
55
35
3
0.15
 |
19
25
6.55.5
0
56.0 |
19
25
6.55.5
0
56.0 |19.1420.81
1238
 |
|
614
0
0
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
66
52
13
0.15
 |
8
8
1.55.5
0
23.0 |
8
8
1.55.5
0
23.0 |0.000.00
288
 |
|
646
0
0
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
66
52
12
0.14
 |
8
8
2.05.2
0
23.2 |
8
8
2.05.2
0
23.2 |0.12-0.15
265
 |
|
84
0
0
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
71
50
8
0.00
 |
3
10
4.00.0
0
17.0 |
3
10
4.00.0
0
17.0 |-3.4811.46
1076
 |
|
139
0
0
 |morrisisu
3
 |
65
55
11
0.04
 |
9
5
2.51.6
0
18.1 |
9
5
2.51.6
0
18.1 |-2.840.18
319
 |
|
309
0
0
 |logankisu
3
 |
65
54
13
0.10
 |
9
6
1.54.0
0
20.5 |
9
6
1.54.0
0
20.5 |-1.457.63
951
 |
|
401
0
0
 |prentiisu
3
 |
67
52
18
0.14
 |
7
8
1.05.2
0
21.2 |
7
8
1.05.2
0
21.2 |-1.04-1.19
129
 |
|
433
0
0
 |conoanisu
3
 |
68
53
13
0.20
 |
6
7
1.57.0
0
21.5 |
6
7
1.57.0
0
21.5 |-0.870.86
405
 |
|
480
0
0
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
67
51
13
0.11
 |
7
9
1.54.3
0
21.8 |
7
9
1.54.3
0
21.8 |-0.702.79
637
 |
|
490
0
0
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
67
48
14
0.05
 |
7
12
1.02.0
0
22.0 |
7
12
1.02.0
0
22.0 |-0.580.60
370
 |
|
542
0
0
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
67
50
10
0.06
 |
7
10
3.02.4
0
22.4 |
7
10
3.02.4
0
22.4 |-0.35-0.51
215
 |
|
557
0
0
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
65
51
15
0.10
 |
9
9
0.54.0
0
22.5 |
9
9
0.54.0
0
22.5 |-0.294.37
765
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
614
0
0
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
66
55
19
0.25
 |
8
5
1.58.5
0
23.0 |
8
5
1.58.5
0
23.0 |0.006.19
881
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
658
0
0
 |billgaisu
1
 |
66
52
11
0.13
 |
8
8
2.54.9
0
23.4 |
8
8
2.54.9
0
23.4 |0.230.14
310
 |
|
669
0
0
 |bworthisu
3
 |
65
54
13
0.20
 |
9
6
1.57.0
0
23.5 |
9
6
1.57.0
0
23.5 |0.291.54
488
 |
|
712
0
0
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
65
54
14
0.23
 |
9
6
1.07.9
0
23.9 |
9
6
1.07.9
0
23.9 |0.520.90
410
 |
|
756
0
0
 |bengelisu
3
 |
65
54
10
0.18
 |
9
6
3.06.4
0
24.4 |
9
6
3.06.4
0
24.4 |0.810.03
294
 |
|
818
0
0
 |bschweisu
3
 |
64
51
13
0.11
 |
10
9
1.54.3
0
24.8 |
10
9
1.54.3
0
24.8 |1.042.09
565
 |
|
822
0
0
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
66
52
11
0.18
 |
8
8
2.56.4
0
24.9 |
8
8
2.56.4
0
24.9 |1.10-0.70
189
 |
|
862
0
0
 |rach87isu
4
 |
63
53
12
0.14
 |
11
7
2.05.2
0
25.2 |
11
7
2.05.2
0
25.2 |1.286.88
922
 |
|
875
0
0
 |schaffisu
3
 |
62
52
16
0.15
 |
12
8
0.05.5
0
25.5 |
12
8
0.05.5
0
25.5 |1.451.08
433
 |
|
958
0
0
 |rall89isu
4
 |
65
52
14
0.24
 |
9
8
1.08.2
0
26.2 |
9
8
1.08.2
0
26.2 |1.86-0.33
234
 |
|
999
0
0
 |srab24isu
4
 |
66
52
10
0.23
 |
8
8
3.07.9
0
26.9 |
8
8
3.07.9
0
26.9 |2.265.28
824
 |
|
1019
0
0
 |gingerisu
3
 |
63
50
7
0.05
 |
11
10
4.52.0
0
27.5 |
11
10
4.52.0
0
27.5 |2.6113.71
1136
 |
|
1041
0
0
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
65
51
15
0.30
 |
9
9
0.59.5
0
28.0 |
9
9
0.59.5
0
28.0 |2.901.79
524
 |
|
1136
0
0
 |cskallisu
4
 |
61
51
11
0.20
 |
13
9
2.57.0
0
31.5 |
13
9
2.57.0
0
31.5 |4.9332.01
1308
 |
|
1140
0
0
 |elboalisu
4
 |
68
40
4
0.00
 |
6
20
6.00.0
0
32.0 |
6
20
6.00.0
0
32.0 |5.227.84
963
 |
|
1203
0
0
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
55
35
3
0.15
C |
19
25
6.55.5
10
66.0 |
19
25
6.55.5
10
66.0 |24.940.82
399
 |
|
1203
0
0
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
55
35
3
0.15
C |
19
25
6.55.5
10
66.0 |
19
25
6.55.5
10
66.0 |24.947.67
953
 |
|
1203
0
0
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
55
35
3
0.15
C |
19
25
6.55.5
10
66.0 |
19
25
6.55.5
10
66.0 |24.9416.64
1179
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 74/60/16/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 59/32/13/0.00
Day 2 : 65/50/12/0.02 ...... Day 6 : 58/33/15/0.00
Day 3 : 59/37/12/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 63/38/19/0.00
Day 4 : 57/34/9/0.02 ...... Day 8 : 51/32/10/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 23.00 Consensus Standard Deviation: 17.24|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 23.4 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 22.4 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 18.1 )morris (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 17.0 )emilye (isu) |
|
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 |