|
Local Results for Peoria, IL Day 8 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
|
| Max: (51°F) Min: (26°F) Wind (19 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 8|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 28.0 )mcneil (isu) rach87 (isu) ginger (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.5 )conoan (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 67 )bschwe (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -130 )mcneil (isu) |
|
Period
|
Forecaster
|
Day 8 Forecast
|
Day 8 Error
|
Cumulative Error
|
Normalized
|
|
Rank
Prev
Change
|Name Sch
Gr
Abs
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
  |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
City
Cumu.
Rank
|
|
60
49
-11
| NGMxxx
8
|
51
25
10
0.00
|
0
1
4.50.0
0
5.5 |
13
21
16.50.0
0
50.5 |-3.151.71
460
|
|
81
138
57
|USL21Zxxx
8
|
51
25
15
0.00
|
0
1
2.00.0
0
3.0 |
16
24
12.00.0
0
52.0 |-2.63-2.22
78
|
|
251
304
53
|USL12Zxxx
8
|
51
23
17
0.00
|
0
3
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
23
27
8.00.0
0
58.0 |-0.55-1.53
122
|
|
374
376
2
| NWSxxx
8
|
51
27
9
0.00
|
0
1
5.00.0
0
6.0 |
23
14
25.00.0
0
62.0 |0.831.37
427
|
|
456
511
55
|ETANAMxxx
8
|
52
25
14
0.00
|
1
1
2.50.0
0
4.5 |
25
21
18.50.0
0
64.5 |1.691.37
428
|
|
746
774
28
|GFSAVNxxx
8
|
54
27
13
0.00
|
3
1
3.00.0
0
7.0 |
34
27
15.50.0
0
76.5 |5.843.02
586
|
|
1089
1096
7
|CLIMO0xxx
8
|
48
31
7
0.00
|
3
5
6.00.0
0
14.0 |
48
37
32.50.0
0
117.5 |20.0219.41
1177
|
|
1193
1200
7
|CLIMO_xxx
8
|
48
31
7
0.10
|
3
5
6.04.0
0
18.0 |
48
37
32.532.0
0
149.5 |31.0823.79
1221
|
|
1235
1258
23
|PERSISxxx
8
|
43
29
18
0.00
|
8
3
0.50.0
0
11.5 |
64
72
16.515.3
0
167.8 |37.4016.10
1116
|
|
311
352
41
|CONSENxxx
9
|
51
27
12
0.00
|
0
1
3.50.0
0
4.5 |
23
21
14.01.6
0
59.6 |0.000.00
275
|
|
394
406
12
|CONSENisu
9
|
52
26
10
0.00
|
1
0
4.50.0
0
5.5 |
25
18
17.52.0
0
62.5 |1.000.07
279
|
|
2
1
-1
|conoanisu
3
|
52
26
14
0.00
|
1
0
2.50.0
0
3.5 |
13
18
10.50.0
0
41.5 |-6.260.38
323
|
|
123
74
-49
|jedmonisu
3
|
51
24
9
0.00
|
0
2
5.00.0
0
7.0 |
19
16
18.50.0
0
53.5 |-2.110.82
378
|
|
153
49
-104
|bengelisu
3
|
51
30
7
0.00
|
0
4
6.00.0
0
10.0 |
19
18
18.00.0
0
55.0 |-1.590.08
281
|
|
215
207
-8
|billgaisu
1
|
52
25
12
0.00
|
1
1
3.50.0
0
5.5 |
25
16
15.50.0
0
56.5 |-1.07-0.34
241
|
|
228
180
-48
|omegaxisu
4
|
50
27
10
0.00
|
1
1
4.50.0
0
6.5 |
23
20
14.00.0
0
57.0 |-0.901.89
487
|
|
National Consensus
|
|
315
334
19
|prentiisu
3
|
51
25
11
0.00
|
0
1
4.00.0
0
5.0 |
27
17
16.00.0
0
60.0 |0.14-1.78
98
|
|
331
275
-56
|gehrtsisu
3
|
53
25
10
0.00
|
2
1
4.50.0
0
7.5 |
27
20
13.50.0
0
60.5 |0.31-0.70
204
|
|
331
292
-39
|jhobbsisu
2
|
52
27
9
0.00
|
1
1
5.00.0
0
7.0 |
22
21
17.50.0
0
60.5 |0.31-0.19
256
|
|
347
275
-72
|adeppeisu
3
|
53
25
9
0.00
|
2
1
5.00.0
0
8.0 |
25
17
19.00.0
0
61.0 |0.483.46
625
|
|
374
376
2
|schaffisu
3
|
52
25
11
0.00
|
1
1
4.00.0
0
6.0 |
24
20
18.00.0
0
62.0 |0.830.95
397
|
|
Local Consensus
|
|
524
463
-61
|rall89isu
4
|
52
23
10
0.00
|
1
3
4.50.0
0
8.5 |
28
22
17.00.0
0
67.0 |2.56-0.45
223
|
|
538
479
-59
|morrisisu
3
|
50
23
10
0.00
|
1
3
4.50.0
0
8.5 |
27
23
17.50.0
0
67.5 |2.730.56
341
|
|
558
625
67
|bschweisu
3
|
54
26
15
0.00
|
3
0
2.00.0
0
5.0 |
29
26
13.50.0
0
68.5 |3.080.96
399
|
|
558
578
20
|bworthisu
3
|
53
26
10
0.00
|
2
0
4.50.0
0
6.5 |
31
20
17.50.0
0
68.5 |3.081.25
420
|
|
576
511
-65
|srab24isu
4
|
48
27
9
0.00
|
3
1
5.00.0
0
9.0 |
30
19
20.00.0
0
69.0 |3.256.44
802
|
|
662
724
62
|jddudaisu
3
1
|
51
25
11
0.00
|
0
1
4.00.0
0
5.0 |
22
17
19.54.0
10
72.5 |4.462.97
582
|
|
886
896
10
|logankisu
3
|
52
25
4
0.00
|
1
1
7.50.0
0
9.5 |
25
29
32.02.0
0
88.0 |9.8212.11
1020
|
|
939
929
-10
|shomtmisu
3
|
53
31
9
0.00
|
2
5
5.00.0
0
12.0 |
30
40
23.50.0
0
93.5 |11.727.67
869
|
|
1015
885
-130
|mcneilisu
3
1
|
48
31
7
0.10
C |
3
5
6.04.0
10
28.0 |
40
29
22.04.0
10
105.0 |15.694.81
721
|
|
1052
1105
53
|dfloryisu
1
3
|
52
25
12
0.00
|
1
1
3.50.0
0
5.5 |
39
8
21.512.0
30
110.5 |17.601.49
436
|
|
1109
1027
-82
|MPHoffisu
4
3
|
48
31
7
0.10
C |
3
5
6.04.0
10
28.0 |
36
24
20.012.0
30
122.0 |21.577.75
874
|
|
1116
1041
-75
|rach87isu
4
2
|
48
31
7
0.10
C |
3
5
6.04.0
10
28.0 |
34
37
24.08.4
20
123.4 |22.0511.33
1001
|
|
1152
1110
-42
|gingerisu
3
2
|
48
31
7
0.10
C |
3
5
6.04.0
10
28.0 |
34
44
28.08.0
20
134.0 |25.7215.62
1107
|
|
1160
1126
-34
|elboalisu
4
3
|
48
31
7
0.10
C |
3
5
6.04.0
10
28.0 |
24
43
26.015.2
30
138.2 |27.179.32
940
|
|
1187
1155
-32
|hamhamisu
3
3
|
48
31
7
0.10
C |
3
5
6.04.0
10
28.0 |
33
40
32.512.0
30
147.5 |30.3918.00
1154
|
|
1196
1222
26
|emilyeisu
4
2
|
52
30
7
0.00
|
1
4
6.00.0
0
11.0 |
40
52
26.513.5
20
152.0 |31.9418.63
1166
|
|
1279
1288
9
|cskallisu
4
5
|
51
34
10
0.00
|
0
8
4.50.0
0
12.5 |
34
47
27.538.5
50
197.0 |47.5036.32
1299
|
| Verification : Day 1 : 46/29/17/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 60/33/14/0.00
Day 2 : 44/22/10/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 55/40/19/0.00
Day 3 : 58/34/13/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 43/29/18/0.00
Day 4 : 51/33/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 51/26/19/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 59.60 Consensus Standard Deviation: 28.93|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 56.5 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 60.5 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 41.5 )conoan (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 57.0 )omegax (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
|