|
Local Results for Peoria, IL Day 4 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
|
| Max: (51°F) Min: (33°F) Wind (11 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 4|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 14.0 )emilye (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.5 )jedmon (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 328 )jedmon (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -294 )srab24 (isu) |
|
Period
|
Forecaster
|
Day 4 Forecast
|
Day 4 Error
|
Cumulative Error
|
Normalized
|
|
Rank
Prev
Change
|Name Sch
Gr
Abs
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
  |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
City
Cumu.
Rank
|
|
34
9
-25
| NGMxxx
8
|
55
32
5
0.00
|
4
1
3.00.0
0
8.0 |
10
4
6.50.0
0
20.5 |-2.691.83
509
|
|
111
101
-10
|USL21Zxxx
8
|
55
31
9
0.00
|
4
2
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
11
7
4.50.0
0
22.5 |-1.61-1.97
67
|
|
487
579
92
|USL12Zxxx
8
|
56
32
10
0.00
|
5
1
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
15
9
3.50.0
0
27.5 |1.07-1.13
135
|
|
487
491
4
|ETANAMxxx
8
|
56
33
6
0.00
|
5
0
2.50.0
0
7.5 |
15
5
7.50.0
0
27.5 |1.071.22
450
|
|
770
821
51
| NWSxxx
8
|
53
35
5
0.00
|
2
2
3.00.0
0
7.0 |
16
4
12.00.0
0
32.0 |3.492.03
535
|
|
812
620
-192
|GFSAVNxxx
8
|
57
37
8
0.00
|
6
4
1.50.0
0
11.5 |
14
14
5.00.0
0
33.0 |4.032.56
587
|
|
1124
1157
33
|CLIMO0xxx
8
|
53
34
7
0.00
|
2
1
2.00.0
0
5.0 |
24
20
11.50.0
0
55.5 |16.1118.43
1190
|
|
1224
1230
6
|CLIMO_xxx
8
|
53
34
7
0.10
|
2
1
2.04.0
0
9.0 |
24
20
11.516.0
0
71.5 |24.7122.20
1224
|
|
1230
1241
11
|PERSISxxx
8
|
58
34
13
0.00
|
7
1
1.00.0
0
9.0 |
33
29
12.00.0
0
74.0 |26.0516.10
1141
|
|
327
403
76
|CONSENxxx
9
|
55
34
8
0.00
|
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
14
7
4.50.0
0
25.5 |0.000.00
278
|
|
453
403
-50
|CONSENisu
9
|
55
35
7
0.00
|
4
2
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
15
6
6.00.0
0
27.0 |0.810.02
282
|
|
11
2
-9
|conoanisu
3
|
55
35
7
0.00
|
4
2
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
10
4
5.00.0
0
19.0 |-3.491.07
431
|
|
137
208
71
|bengelisu
3
|
54
34
7
0.00
|
3
1
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
12
5
6.00.0
0
23.0 |-1.340.14
301
|
|
166
303
137
|bschweisu
3
|
56
33
12
0.00
|
5
0
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
12
8
3.50.0
0
23.5 |-1.07-0.08
264
|
|
208
208
0
|omegaxisu
4
|
56
34
9
0.00
|
5
1
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
14
6
4.00.0
0
24.0 |-0.811.92
522
|
|
248
208
-40
|billgaisu
1
|
56
34
8
0.00
|
5
1
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
14
5
5.50.0
0
24.5 |-0.54-0.21
249
|
|
292
303
11
|rall89isu
4
|
55
34
7
0.00
|
4
1
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
15
4
6.00.0
0
25.0 |-0.27-0.86
168
|
|
292
208
-84
|jhobbsisu
2
|
56
34
7
0.00
|
5
1
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
13
5
7.00.0
0
25.0 |-0.27-0.33
238
|
|
292
620
328
|jedmonisu
3
|
51
34
6
0.00
|
0
1
2.50.0
0
3.5 |
11
7
7.00.0
0
25.0 |-0.271.28
454
|
|
National Consensus
|
|
372
303
-69
|schaffisu
3
|
55
35
7
0.00
|
4
2
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
14
5
7.00.0
0
26.0 |0.270.81
387
|
|
372
258
-114
|adeppeisu
3
|
56
34
6
0.00
|
5
1
2.50.0
0
8.5 |
14
5
7.00.0
0
26.0 |0.273.40
654
|
|
419
491
72
|gehrtsisu
3
|
55
34
8
0.00
|
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
16
6
4.50.0
0
26.5 |0.54-0.64
199
|
|
Local Consensus
|
|
640
620
-20
|bworthisu
3
|
56
34
7
0.00
|
5
1
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
18
5
6.50.0
0
29.5 |2.151.02
419
|
|
671
538
-133
|prentiisu
3
|
55
37
8
0.00
|
4
4
1.50.0
0
9.5 |
16
7
7.00.0
0
30.0 |2.42-1.27
120
|
|
697
403
-294
|srab24isu
4
|
57
36
6
0.00
|
6
3
2.50.0
0
11.5 |
17
7
6.50.0
0
30.5 |2.696.30
835
|
|
747
691
-56
|morrisisu
3
|
56
35
7
0.00
|
5
2
2.00.0
0
9.0 |
17
8
6.50.0
0
31.5 |3.220.57
355
|
|
894
945
51
|shomtmisu
3
|
54
34
5
0.00
|
3
1
3.00.0
0
7.0 |
16
11
9.50.0
0
36.5 |5.916.22
830
|
|
902
821
-81
|logankisu
3
|
56
36
3
0.00
|
5
3
4.00.0
0
12.0 |
18
6
13.00.0
0
37.0 |6.1811.20
1043
|
|
937
961
24
|jddudaisu
3
1
|
56
34
7
0.00
|
5
1
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
15
3
6.54.0
10
38.5 |6.983.61
670
|
|
961
985
24
|dfloryisu
1
1
|
56
34
7
0.00
|
5
1
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
16
2
7.54.0
10
39.5 |7.521.49
471
|
|
1009
985
-24
|mcneilisu
3
|
56
37
7
0.00
|
5
4
2.00.0
0
11.0 |
24
11
7.50.0
0
42.5 |9.134.48
739
|
|
1025
1034
9
|gingerisu
3
|
54
37
6
0.00
|
3
4
2.50.0
0
9.5 |
19
17
8.00.0
0
44.0 |9.9412.22
1066
|
|
1032
1059
27
|elboalisu
4
1
|
54
36
8
0.00
|
3
3
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
13
11
6.54.0
10
44.5 |10.208.52
941
|
|
1070
1057
-13
|MPHoffisu
4
1
|
56
39
8
0.00
|
5
6
1.50.0
0
12.5 |
16
9
10.04.0
10
49.0 |12.627.67
903
|
|
1132
1155
23
|rach87isu
4
1
|
54
32
6
0.00
|
3
1
2.50.0
0
6.5 |
20
11
11.54.0
10
56.5 |16.6510.72
1029
|
|
1132
1149
17
|hamhamisu
3
1
|
52
37
6
0.00
|
1
4
2.50.0
0
7.5 |
17
14
11.54.0
10
56.5 |16.6514.56
1115
|
|
1265
1260
-5
|emilyeisu
4
2
|
56
40
7
0.00
|
5
7
2.00.0
0
14.0 |
24
26
10.08.0
20
88.0 |33.5718.63
1193
|
|
1287
1281
-6
|cskallisu
4
4
|
53
34
7
0.10
C |
2
1
2.04.0
10
19.0 |
24
20
11.516.0
40
111.5 |46.1935.99
1306
|
| Verification : Day 1 : 46/29/17/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 60/33/14/0.00
Day 2 : 44/22/10/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 55/40/19/0.00
Day 3 : 58/34/13/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 43/29/18/0.00
Day 4 : 51/33/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 51/26/19/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 25.50 Consensus Standard Deviation: 18.62|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 24.5 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 25.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 19.0 )conoan (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 24.0 )omegax (isu) |
|
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|