|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 8 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (85°F) Min: (73°F) Wind (13 knots) Precip: 0.33" - Final Day 8|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 38.5 )emilye (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 7.4 )bengel (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 157 )bengel (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -147 )emilye (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 8 Forecast
|
Day 8 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
83
113
30
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
84
74
10
0.06
 |
1
1
1.57.7
0
11.2 |
16
18
10.019.9
0
63.9 |-0.03-0.03
83
 |
|
171
142
-29
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
83
74
15
0.00
 |
2
1
1.010.1
0
14.1 |
15
15
11.526.1
0
67.6 |0.990.99
173
 |
|
261
335
74
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
81
74
15
0.12
 |
4
1
1.05.5
0
11.5 |
17
16
10.027.0
0
70.0 |1.641.64
261
 |
|
545
465
-80
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
79
69
10
0.15
 |
6
4
1.54.6
0
16.1 |
25
19
10.024.4
0
78.4 |3.953.95
545
 |
|
726
754
28
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
82
72
11
0.02
 |
3
1
1.09.3
0
14.3 |
16
17
13.541.5
0
88.0 |6.586.58
726
 |
|
819
856
37
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
82
74
13
0.00
 |
3
1
0.010.1
0
14.1 |
25
25
13.529.8
0
93.3 |8.038.03
819
 |
|
928
974
46
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
81
73
12
0.00
 |
4
0
0.510.1
0
14.6 |
32
13
13.044.3
0
102.3 |10.5010.50
929
 |
|
1261
1262
1
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
76
62
4
0.17
 |
9
11
4.54.0
0
28.5 |
47
55
30.529.9
0
162.4 |26.9726.97
1261
 |
|
1282
1264
-18
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
76
62
4
0.00
 |
9
11
4.510.1
0
34.6 |
47
55
30.537.6
0
170.1 |29.0829.08
1282
 |
|
86
70
-16
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
82
72
11
0.06
 |
3
1
1.07.7
0
12.7 |
18
14
9.023.0
0
64.0 |0.000.00
86
 |
|
92
83
-9
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
82
73
11
0.04
 |
3
0
1.08.5
0
12.5 |
20
11
9.523.8
0
64.3 |0.080.08
92
 |
|
25
19
-6
 |rall89isu
4
 |
82
73
11
0.04
 |
3
0
1.08.5
0
12.5 |
17
10
9.024.5
0
60.5 |-0.96-0.96
25
 |
|
61
218
157
 |bengelisu
3
 |
85
73
12
0.08
 |
0
0
0.56.9
0
7.4 |
15
15
8.024.9
0
62.9 |-0.30-0.30
61
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
99
113
14
 |prentiisu
3
 |
84
72
13
0.00
 |
1
1
0.010.1
0
12.1 |
17
14
13.520.3
0
64.8 |0.220.22
99
 |
|
139
169
30
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
83
73
12
0.01
 |
2
0
0.59.7
0
12.2 |
16
13
9.527.9
0
66.4 |0.660.66
139
 |
|
165
127
-38
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
82
71
13
0.02
 |
3
2
0.09.3
0
14.3 |
16
15
8.028.4
0
67.4 |0.930.93
167
 |
|
245
287
42
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
82
73
13
0.02
 |
3
0
0.09.3
0
12.3 |
16
16
12.525.1
0
69.6 |1.541.54
246
 |
|
287
231
-56
 |bworthisu
3
 |
83
72
10
0.00
 |
2
1
1.510.1
0
14.6 |
19
17
8.526.0
0
70.5 |1.781.78
289
 |
|
297
210
-87
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
81
73
10
0.00
 |
4
0
1.510.1
0
15.6 |
21
13
9.527.3
0
70.8 |1.861.86
297
 |
|
350
326
-24
 |billgaisu
1
 |
82
72
13
0.00
 |
3
1
0.010.1
0
14.1 |
18
16
10.028.3
0
72.3 |2.282.28
350
 |
|
395
365
-30
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
82
72
13
0.00
 |
3
1
0.010.1
0
14.1 |
21
12
14.026.5
0
73.5 |2.602.60
397
 |
|
416
317
-99
 |morrisisu
3
 |
82
71
11
0.00
 |
3
2
1.010.1
0
16.1 |
20
12
10.531.6
0
74.1 |2.772.77
418
 |
|
554
530
-24
 |schaffisu
3
 |
81
73
14
0.00
 |
4
0
0.510.1
0
14.6 |
23
15
12.029.1
0
79.1 |4.144.14
555
 |
|
601
705
104
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
85
73
8
0.06
 |
0
0
2.57.7
0
10.2 |
18
21
15.526.5
0
81.0 |4.664.66
601
 |
|
630
620
-10
 |logankisu
3
 |
82
71
14
0.01
 |
3
2
0.59.7
0
15.2 |
20
21
14.526.7
0
82.2 |4.994.99
630
 |
|
656
643
-13
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
82
75
11
0.02
 |
3
2
1.09.3
0
15.3 |
30
19
13.021.4
0
83.4 |5.325.32
656
 |
|
706
712
6
 |elboalisu
4
 |
80
70
13
0.07
 |
5
3
0.07.3
0
15.3 |
24
20
12.529.9
0
86.4 |6.146.14
706
 |
|
729
792
63
 |bschweisu
3
 |
83
73
12
0.00
 |
2
0
0.510.1
0
12.6 |
24
24
9.031.2
0
88.2 |6.636.63
730
 |
|
756
896
140
 |conoanisu
3
1
 |
86
73
15
0.10
 |
1
0
1.06.1
0
8.1 |
24
21
11.523.4
10
89.9 |7.107.10
756
 |
|
801
785
-16
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
81
72
9
0.00
 |
4
1
2.010.1
0
17.1 |
22
18
11.031.4
10
92.4 |7.797.79
801
 |
|
854
911
57
 |gingerisu
3
 |
83
71
7
0.10
 |
2
2
3.06.1
0
13.1 |
26
24
17.528.4
0
95.9 |8.748.74
854
 |
|
865
931
66
 |rach87isu
4
1
 |
85
74
11
0.00
 |
0
1
1.010.1
0
12.1 |
24
25
16.021.7
10
96.7 |8.968.96
865
 |
|
895
975
80
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
80
72
12
0.15
 |
5
1
0.54.6
0
11.1 |
25
19
11.033.9
10
98.9 |9.579.57
895
 |
|
956
977
21
 |srab24isu
4
1
 |
82
74
8
0.00
 |
3
1
2.510.1
0
16.6 |
28
21
23.522.2
10
104.7 |11.1611.16
957
 |
|
995
1049
54
 |hamhamisu
3
2
 |
80
73
12
0.10
 |
5
0
0.56.1
0
11.6 |
29
18
13.028.1
20
108.1 |12.0912.09
996
 |
|
1027
1066
39
 |MPHoffisu
4
1
 |
83
74
5
0.10
 |
2
1
4.06.1
0
13.1 |
29
21
15.535.7
10
111.2 |12.9412.94
1028
 |
|
1139
992
-147
 |emilyeisu
4
1
 |
76
62
4
0.17
C |
9
11
4.54.0
10
38.5 |
27
32
21.537.2
10
127.7 |17.4617.46
1139
 |
|
1330
1323
-7
 |cskallisu
4
4
 |
76
62
4
0.17
C |
9
11
4.54.0
10
38.5 |
48
44
28.542.7
40
203.2 |38.1638.16
1330
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 64.00 Consensus Standard Deviation: 36.48|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 72.3 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 70.8 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 62.9 )bengel (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 60.5 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |