|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 7 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (81°F) Min: (73°F) Wind (12 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 7|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 13.5 )shomtm (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 1.0 )rach87 (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 158 )schaff (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -75 )adeppe (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 7 Forecast
|
Day 7 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
113
60
-53
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
85
74
9
0.00
 |
4
1
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
15
17
8.512.2
0
52.7 |0.420.42
113
 |
|
142
180
38
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
83
74
14
0.00
 |
2
1
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
13
14
10.516.0
0
53.5 |0.650.65
146
 |
|
335
432
97
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
83
74
12
0.00
 |
2
1
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
13
15
9.021.5
0
58.5 |2.142.14
335
 |
|
465
460
-5
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
79
70
10
0.00
 |
2
3
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
19
15
8.519.8
0
62.3 |3.273.27
465
 |
|
754
788
34
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
83
71
8
0.01
 |
2
2
2.00.4
0
6.4 |
13
16
12.532.2
0
73.7 |6.656.65
754
 |
|
856
961
105
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
80
72
12
0.00
 |
1
1
0.00.0
0
2.0 |
22
24
13.519.7
0
79.2 |8.288.28
856
 |
|
974
955
-19
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
85
71
10
0.10
 |
4
2
1.04.0
0
11.0 |
28
13
12.534.2
0
87.7 |10.8110.81
974
 |
|
1262
1231
-31
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
76
63
4
0.18
 |
5
10
4.06.4
0
25.4 |
38
44
26.025.9
0
133.9 |24.5224.52
1262
 |
|
1264
1262
-2
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
76
63
4
0.00
 |
5
10
4.00.0
0
19.0 |
38
44
26.027.5
0
135.5 |25.0025.00
1264
 |
|
70
39
-31
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
82
71
10
0.05
 |
1
2
1.02.0
0
6.0 |
15
13
8.015.3
0
51.3 |0.000.00
71
 |
|
83
139
56
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
82
72
10
0.01
 |
1
1
1.00.4
0
3.4 |
17
11
8.515.3
0
51.8 |0.150.15
85
 |
|
19
17
-2
 |rall89isu
4
 |
83
72
9
0.00
 |
2
1
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
14
10
8.016.0
0
48.0 |-0.98-0.98
19
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
113
84
-29
 |prentiisu
3
 |
83
71
8
0.00
 |
2
2
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
16
13
13.510.2
0
52.7 |0.420.42
116
 |
|
127
52
-75
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
82
70
9
0.04
 |
1
3
1.51.6
0
7.1 |
13
13
8.019.1
0
53.1 |0.530.53
127
 |
|
169
186
17
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
83
72
9
0.00
 |
2
1
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
14
13
9.018.2
0
54.2 |0.860.86
169
 |
|
210
298
88
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
82
72
10
0.00
 |
1
1
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
17
13
8.017.2
0
55.2 |1.161.16
210
 |
|
218
196
-22
 |bengelisu
3
 |
84
71
11
0.00
 |
3
2
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
15
15
7.518.0
0
55.5 |1.251.25
219
 |
|
231
193
-38
 |bworthisu
3
 |
83
71
8
0.00
 |
2
2
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
17
16
7.015.9
0
55.9 |1.371.37
233
 |
|
287
397
110
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
81
72
9
0.00
 |
0
1
1.50.0
0
2.5 |
13
16
12.515.8
0
57.3 |1.781.78
288
 |
|
317
464
147
 |morrisisu
3
 |
81
73
9
0.00
 |
0
0
1.50.0
0
1.5 |
17
10
9.521.5
0
58.0 |1.991.99
317
 |
|
326
417
91
 |billgaisu
1
 |
82
71
12
0.00
 |
1
2
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
15
15
10.018.2
0
58.2 |2.052.05
326
 |
|
365
404
39
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
83
72
9
0.00
 |
2
1
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
18
11
14.016.4
0
59.4 |2.402.40
369
 |
|
530
688
158
 |schaffisu
3
 |
81
72
13
0.00
 |
0
1
0.50.0
0
1.5 |
19
15
11.519.0
0
64.5 |3.923.92
535
 |
|
620
662
42
 |logankisu
3
 |
82
71
8
0.00
 |
1
2
2.00.0
0
5.0 |
17
19
14.017.0
0
67.0 |4.664.66
622
 |
|
643
673
30
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
80
71
9
0.03
 |
1
2
1.51.2
0
5.7 |
27
17
12.012.1
0
68.1 |4.994.99
643
 |
|
705
788
83
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
81
71
9
0.00
 |
0
2
1.50.0
0
3.5 |
18
21
13.018.8
0
70.8 |5.795.79
705
 |
|
712
749
37
 |elboalisu
4
 |
80
72
11
0.08
 |
1
1
0.53.2
0
5.7 |
19
17
12.522.6
0
71.1 |5.885.88
712
 |
|
785
801
16
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
84
70
10
0.00
 |
3
3
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
18
17
9.021.3
10
75.3 |7.137.13
785
 |
|
792
911
119
 |bschweisu
3
 |
83
73
12
0.00
 |
2
0
0.00.0
0
2.0 |
22
24
8.521.1
0
75.6 |7.217.21
792
 |
|
896
992
96
 |conoanisu
3
1
 |
83
73
11
0.00
 |
2
0
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
23
21
10.517.3
10
81.8 |9.059.05
896
 |
|
911
972
61
 |gingerisu
3
 |
80
72
8
0.02
 |
1
1
2.00.8
0
4.8 |
24
22
14.522.3
0
82.8 |9.359.35
911
 |
|
931
1044
113
 |rach87isu
4
1
 |
81
73
10
0.00
 |
0
0
1.00.0
0
1.0 |
24
24
15.011.6
10
84.6 |9.899.89
931
 |
|
975
925
-50
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
79
69
8
0.15
 |
2
4
2.05.5
0
13.5 |
20
18
10.529.3
10
87.8 |10.8410.84
975
 |
|
977
1038
61
 |srab24isu
4
1
 |
80
72
6
0.00
 |
1
1
3.00.0
0
5.0 |
25
20
21.012.1
10
88.1 |10.9310.93
977
 |
|
992
1008
16
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
77
70
15
0.00
 |
4
3
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
18
21
17.033.2
0
89.2 |11.2511.25
992
 |
|
1049
1145
96
 |hamhamisu
3
2
 |
80
72
13
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
24
18
12.522.0
20
96.5 |13.4213.42
1049
 |
|
1066
1146
80
 |MPHoffisu
4
1
 |
83
72
10
0.00
 |
2
1
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
27
20
11.529.6
10
98.1 |13.8913.89
1066
 |
|
1323
1304
-19
 |cskallisu
4
3
 |
76
63
4
0.18
C |
5
10
4.06.4
10
35.4 |
39
33
24.038.7
30
164.7 |33.6733.67
1323
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 51.30 Consensus Standard Deviation: 33.68|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 58.2 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 55.2 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 52.7 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 48.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |