|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 6 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (85°F) Min: (71°F) Wind (10 knots) Precip: 0.10" - Final Day 6|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 32.4 )conoan (isu) cskall (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.0 )bengel (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 215 )bengel (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -588 )conoan (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 6 Forecast
|
Day 6 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
60
116
56
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
84
74
9
0.08
 |
1
3
0.50.8
0
5.3 |
11
16
7.012.2
0
46.2 |0.290.29
60
 |
|
180
83
-97
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
83
73
15
0.20
 |
2
2
2.53.0
0
9.5 |
11
13
9.516.0
0
49.5 |1.351.35
183
 |
|
432
347
-85
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
83
73
14
0.00
 |
2
2
2.04.0
0
10.0 |
11
14
9.021.5
0
55.5 |3.293.29
432
 |
|
460
109
-351
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
80
72
13
0.43
 |
5
1
1.58.1
0
15.6 |
17
12
7.519.8
0
56.3 |3.543.54
460
 |
|
788
891
103
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
83
72
11
0.03
 |
2
1
0.52.8
0
6.3 |
11
14
10.531.8
0
67.3 |7.097.09
788
 |
|
955
1020
65
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
83
71
15
0.24
 |
2
0
2.54.2
0
8.7 |
24
11
11.530.2
0
76.7 |10.1110.11
955
 |
|
961
936
-25
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
82
73
13
0.40
 |
3
2
1.57.5
0
14.0 |
21
23
13.519.7
0
77.2 |10.2710.27
961
 |
|
1231
1197
-34
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
76
63
4
0.18
 |
9
8
3.02.4
0
22.4 |
33
34
22.019.5
0
108.5 |20.3620.36
1231
 |
|
1262
1244
-18
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
76
63
4
0.00
 |
9
8
3.04.0
0
24.0 |
33
34
22.027.5
0
116.5 |22.9322.93
1262
 |
|
39
70
31
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
82
72
12
0.13
 |
3
1
1.00.9
0
5.9 |
14
11
7.013.3
0
45.3 |0.000.00
39
 |
|
139
157
18
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
82
72
12
0.15
 |
3
1
1.01.5
0
6.5 |
16
10
7.514.9
0
48.4 |1.001.00
140
 |
|
17
27
10
 |rall89isu
4
 |
83
72
11
0.20
 |
2
1
0.53.0
0
6.5 |
12
9
6.516.0
0
43.5 |-0.58-0.58
17
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
52
59
7
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
81
71
10
0.20
 |
4
0
0.03.0
0
7.0 |
12
10
6.517.5
0
46.0 |0.230.23
52
 |
|
84
47
-37
 |prentiisu
3
 |
82
72
17
0.13
 |
3
1
3.50.9
0
8.4 |
14
11
11.510.2
0
46.7 |0.450.45
84
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
186
247
61
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
82
71
12
0.05
 |
3
0
1.02.0
0
6.0 |
12
12
7.518.2
0
49.7 |1.421.42
186
 |
|
193
254
61
 |bworthisu
3
 |
83
72
12
0.05
 |
2
1
1.02.0
0
6.0 |
15
14
5.015.9
0
49.9 |1.481.48
194
 |
|
196
411
215
 |bengelisu
3
 |
83
71
12
0.10
 |
2
0
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
12
13
7.018.0
0
50.0 |1.511.51
196
 |
|
298
338
40
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
83
72
13
0.04
 |
2
1
1.52.4
0
6.9 |
16
12
7.017.2
0
52.2 |2.222.22
299
 |
|
397
502
105
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
84
73
13
0.15
 |
1
2
1.51.5
0
6.0 |
13
15
11.015.8
0
54.8 |3.063.06
398
 |
|
404
465
61
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
82
72
12
0.06
 |
3
1
1.01.6
0
6.6 |
16
10
12.516.4
0
54.9 |3.093.09
406
 |
|
417
472
55
 |billgaisu
1
 |
83
72
12
0.03
 |
2
1
1.02.8
0
6.8 |
14
13
10.018.2
0
55.2 |3.193.19
417
 |
|
464
445
-19
 |morrisisu
3
 |
83
72
13
0.00
 |
2
1
1.54.0
0
8.5 |
17
10
8.021.5
0
56.5 |3.613.61
466
 |
|
662
593
-69
 |logankisu
3
 |
81
73
8
0.00
 |
4
2
1.04.0
0
11.0 |
16
17
12.017.0
0
62.0 |5.385.38
663
 |
|
673
608
-65
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
80
74
13
0.15
 |
5
3
1.51.5
0
11.0 |
26
15
10.510.9
0
62.4 |5.515.51
674
 |
|
688
741
53
 |schaffisu
3
 |
83
72
14
0.20
 |
2
1
2.03.0
0
8.0 |
19
14
11.019.0
0
63.0 |5.705.70
688
 |
|
749
629
-120
 |elboalisu
4
 |
80
70
13
0.33
 |
5
1
1.56.1
0
13.6 |
18
16
12.019.4
0
65.4 |6.476.47
749
 |
|
788
920
132
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
85
72
11
0.21
 |
0
1
0.53.3
0
4.8 |
18
19
11.518.8
0
67.3 |7.097.09
790
 |
|
801
890
89
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
81
73
12
0.09
 |
4
2
1.00.4
0
7.4 |
15
14
8.021.3
10
68.3 |7.417.41
801
 |
|
911
914
3
 |bschweisu
3
 |
81
72
11
0.31
 |
4
1
0.55.7
0
11.2 |
20
24
8.521.1
0
73.6 |9.119.11
911
 |
|
925
894
-31
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
82
73
15
0.30
 |
3
2
2.55.5
0
13.0 |
18
14
8.523.8
10
74.3 |9.349.34
925
 |
|
972
1040
68
 |gingerisu
3
 |
80
69
8
0.10
 |
5
2
1.00.0
0
8.0 |
23
21
12.521.5
0
78.0 |10.5310.53
972
 |
|
992
404
-588
 |conoanisu
3
1
 |
76
63
4
0.18
C |
9
8
3.02.4
10
32.4 |
21
21
10.017.3
10
79.3 |10.9510.95
994
 |
|
1008
995
-13
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
80
72
18
0.25
 |
5
1
4.04.5
0
14.5 |
14
18
15.533.2
0
80.7 |11.4011.40
1009
 |
|
1038
1068
30
 |srab24isu
4
1
 |
77
72
8
0.08
 |
8
1
1.00.8
0
10.8 |
24
19
18.012.1
10
83.1 |12.1712.17
1039
 |
|
1044
1120
76
 |rach87isu
4
1
 |
82
73
11
0.15
 |
3
2
0.51.5
0
7.0 |
24
24
14.011.6
10
83.6 |12.3412.34
1044
 |
|
1145
1160
15
 |hamhamisu
3
2
 |
81
73
14
0.30
 |
4
2
2.05.5
0
13.5 |
23
17
12.022.0
20
94.0 |15.6915.69
1145
 |
|
1146
1182
36
 |MPHoffisu
4
1
 |
80
72
13
0.20
 |
5
1
1.53.0
0
10.5 |
25
19
10.529.6
10
94.1 |15.7215.72
1146
 |
|
1304
1268
-36
 |cskallisu
4
2
 |
76
63
4
0.18
C |
9
8
3.02.4
10
32.4 |
34
23
20.032.3
20
129.3 |27.0527.05
1304
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 45.30 Consensus Standard Deviation: 31.05|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 54.9 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 52.2 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 46.0 )adeppe (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 43.5 )rall89 (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |