|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 5 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
|
| Max: (83°F) Min: (71°F) Wind (15 knots) Precip: 0.24" - Final Day 5|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 31.2 )cskall (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 9.2 )rall89 (isu) adeppe (isu) mcneil (isu) MPHoff (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 178 )mcneil (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -288 )elboal (isu) |
|
Period
|
Forecaster
|
Day 5 Forecast
|
Day 5 Error
|
Cumulative Error
|
Normalized
|
|
Rank
Prev
Change
|Name Sch
Gr
Abs
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
  |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
City
Cumu.
Rank
|
|
83
38
-45
|USL12Zxxx
8
|
80
73
16
0.00
|
3
2
0.58.2
0
13.7 |
9
11
7.013.0
0
40.0 |0.220.22
86
|
|
109
109
0
|ETANAMxxx
8
|
80
69
14
0.04
|
3
2
0.56.6
0
12.1 |
12
11
6.011.7
0
40.7 |0.490.49
110
|
|
116
295
179
|GFSAVNxxx
8
|
81
71
14
0.05
|
2
0
0.56.2
0
8.7 |
10
13
6.511.4
0
40.9 |0.560.56
117
|
|
347
240
-107
|USL21Zxxx
8
|
82
75
17
0.00
|
1
4
1.08.2
0
14.2 |
9
12
7.017.5
0
45.5 |2.282.28
348
|
|
891
970
79
| NGMxxx
8
|
81
70
19
0.05
|
2
1
2.06.2
0
11.2 |
9
13
10.029.0
0
61.0 |8.098.09
891
|
|
936
986
50
| NWSxxx
8
|
80
71
22
0.05
|
3
0
3.56.2
0
12.7 |
18
21
12.012.2
0
63.2 |8.918.91
936
|
|
1020
1031
11
|PERSISxxx
8
|
79
69
14
0.00
|
4
2
0.58.2
0
14.7 |
22
11
9.026.0
0
68.0 |10.7110.71
1020
|
|
1197
1186
-11
|CLIMO_xxx
8
|
77
64
4
0.18
|
6
7
5.51.8
0
20.3 |
24
26
19.017.1
0
86.1 |17.4817.48
1197
|
|
1244
1186
-58
|CLIMO0xxx
8
|
77
64
4
0.00
|
6
7
5.58.2
0
26.7 |
24
26
19.023.5
0
92.5 |19.8819.88
1245
|
|
70
119
49
|CONSENxxx
9
|
80
70
15
0.04
|
3
1
0.06.6
0
10.6 |
11
10
6.012.4
0
39.4 |0.000.00
71
|
|
157
200
43
|CONSENisu
9
|
80
70
16
0.03
|
3
1
0.57.0
0
11.5 |
13
9
6.513.4
0
41.9 |0.940.94
158
|
|
27
70
43
|rall89isu
4
|
81
72
15
0.05
|
2
1
0.06.2
0
9.2 |
10
8
6.013.0
0
37.0 |-0.90-0.90
27
|
|
47
30
-17
|prentiisu
3
|
81
69
18
0.03
|
2
2
1.57.0
0
12.5 |
11
10
8.09.3
0
38.3 |-0.41-0.41
48
|
|
59
168
109
|adeppeisu
3
|
81
71
17
0.05
|
2
0
1.06.2
0
9.2 |
8
10
6.514.5
0
39.0 |-0.15-0.15
59
|
|
National Consensus
|
|
Local Consensus
|
|
247
144
-103
|gehrtsisu
3
|
79
69
18
0.03
|
4
2
1.57.0
0
14.5 |
9
12
6.516.2
0
43.7 |1.611.61
247
|
|
254
336
82
|bworthisu
3
|
80
70
15
0.03
|
3
1
0.07.0
0
11.0 |
13
13
4.013.9
0
43.9 |1.681.68
259
|
|
338
290
-48
|jhobbsisu
2
|
80
69
15
0.00
|
3
2
0.08.2
0
13.2 |
14
11
5.514.8
0
45.3 |2.212.21
340
|
|
404
415
11
|conoanisu
3
|
82
69
18
0.00
|
1
2
1.58.2
0
12.7 |
12
13
7.014.9
0
46.9 |2.812.81
408
|
|
411
424
13
|bengelisu
3
|
82
68
16
0.00
|
1
3
0.58.2
0
12.7 |
10
13
6.018.0
0
47.0 |2.852.85
412
|
|
445
452
7
|morrisisu
3
|
80
70
17
0.00
|
3
1
1.08.2
0
13.2 |
15
9
6.517.5
0
48.0 |3.223.22
445
|
|
465
443
-22
|dfloryisu
1
|
80
69
16
0.00
|
3
2
0.58.2
0
13.7 |
13
9
11.514.8
0
48.3 |3.333.33
467
|
|
472
415
-57
|billgaisu
1
|
80
70
19
0.00
|
3
1
2.08.2
0
14.2 |
12
12
9.015.4
0
48.4 |3.373.37
472
|
|
502
514
12
|jedmonisu
3
|
80
70
19
0.04
|
3
1
2.06.6
0
12.6 |
12
13
9.514.3
0
48.8 |3.523.52
504
|
|
593
632
39
|logankisu
3
|
78
70
15
0.05
|
5
1
0.06.2
0
12.2 |
12
15
11.013.0
0
51.0 |4.344.34
594
|
|
608
786
178
|mcneilisu
3
|
80
72
17
0.10
|
3
1
1.04.2
0
9.2 |
21
12
9.09.4
0
51.4 |4.494.49
609
|
|
629
341
-288
|elboalisu
4
|
78
66
17
0.01
|
5
5
1.07.8
0
18.8 |
13
15
10.513.3
0
51.8 |4.644.64
633
|
|
741
746
5
|schaffisu
3
|
80
70
18
0.00
|
3
1
1.58.2
0
13.7 |
17
13
9.016.0
0
55.0 |5.845.84
741
|
|
890
973
83
|jddudaisu
3
1
|
80
70
15
0.03
|
3
1
0.07.0
0
11.0 |
11
12
7.020.9
10
60.9 |8.058.05
890
|
|
894
962
68
|shomtmisu
3
1
|
79
71
18
0.05
|
4
0
1.56.2
0
11.7 |
15
12
6.018.3
10
61.3 |8.208.20
894
|
|
914
978
64
|bschweisu
3
|
81
70
13
0.00
|
2
1
1.08.2
0
12.2 |
16
23
8.015.4
0
62.4 |8.618.61
915
|
|
920
978
58
|omegaxisu
4
|
81
69
16
0.01
|
2
2
0.57.8
0
12.3 |
18
18
11.015.5
0
62.5 |8.658.65
920
|
|
995
1012
17
|emilyeisu
4
|
80
70
19
0.00
|
3
1
2.08.2
0
14.2 |
9
17
11.528.7
0
66.2 |10.0310.03
995
|
|
1040
1067
27
|gingerisu
3
|
79
70
20
0.05
|
4
1
2.56.2
0
13.7 |
18
19
11.521.5
0
70.0 |11.4611.46
1040
|
|
1068
1131
63
|srab24isu
4
1
|
79
72
10
0.12
|
4
1
2.53.6
0
11.1 |
16
18
17.011.3
10
72.3 |12.3212.32
1068
|
|
1120
884
-236
|rach87isu
4
1
|
77
64
4
0.18
C |
6
7
5.51.8
10
30.3 |
21
22
13.510.1
10
76.6 |13.9313.93
1120
|
|
1160
978
-182
|hamhamisu
3
2
|
77
64
4
0.18
C |
6
7
5.51.8
10
30.3 |
19
15
10.016.5
20
80.5 |15.3915.39
1160
|
|
1182
1246
64
|MPHoffisu
4
1
|
79
70
15
0.10
|
4
1
0.04.2
0
9.2 |
20
18
9.026.6
10
83.6 |16.5516.55
1183
|
|
1268
1181
-87
|cskallisu
4
1
|
74
63
3
0.00
|
9
8
6.08.2
0
31.2 |
25
15
17.029.9
10
96.9 |21.5321.53
1268
|
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 39.40 Consensus Standard Deviation: 26.71|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 48.3 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 45.3 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 38.3 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 37.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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|