|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 4 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (83°F) Min: (74°F) Wind (11 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 4|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 33.9 )MPHoff (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.0 )rall89 (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 250 )rall89 (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -879 )emilye (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 4 Forecast
|
Day 4 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
38
149
111
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
83
73
14
0.05
 |
0
1
1.52.0
0
4.5 |
6
9
6.54.8
0
26.3 |-1.08-1.08
41
 |
|
109
117
8
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
82
70
10
0.05
 |
1
4
0.52.0
0
7.5 |
9
9
5.55.1
0
28.6 |-0.09-0.09
110
 |
|
240
543
303
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
82
73
12
0.01
 |
1
1
0.50.4
0
2.9 |
8
8
6.09.3
0
31.3 |1.081.08
240
 |
|
295
427
132
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
83
70
10
0.03
 |
0
4
0.51.2
0
5.7 |
8
13
6.05.2
0
32.2 |1.461.46
296
 |
|
970
721
-249
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
83
66
12
0.32
 |
0
8
0.59.9
0
18.4 |
7
12
8.022.8
0
49.8 |9.049.04
971
 |
|
986
1075
89
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
82
71
20
0.00
 |
1
3
4.50.0
0
8.5 |
15
21
8.56.0
0
50.5 |9.349.34
988
 |
|
1031
960
-71
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
80
71
13
0.27
 |
3
3
1.08.9
0
15.9 |
18
9
8.517.8
0
53.3 |10.5410.54
1031
 |
|
1186
1072
-114
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
78
65
4
0.18
 |
5
9
3.56.4
0
23.9 |
18
19
13.515.3
0
65.8 |15.9215.92
1186
 |
|
1186
1196
10
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
78
65
4
0.00
 |
5
9
3.50.0
0
17.5 |
18
19
13.515.3
0
65.8 |15.9215.92
1186
 |
|
119
102
-17
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
82
70
13
0.05
 |
1
4
1.02.0
0
8.0 |
8
9
6.05.8
0
28.8 |0.000.00
128
 |
|
200
176
-24
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
82
70
13
0.05
 |
1
4
1.02.0
0
8.0 |
10
8
6.06.4
0
30.4 |0.690.69
203
 |
|
30
20
-10
 |prentiisu
3
 |
84
70
18
0.00
 |
1
4
3.50.0
0
8.5 |
9
8
6.52.3
0
25.8 |-1.29-1.29
31
 |
|
70
320
250
 |rall89isu
4
 |
83
71
11
0.00
 |
0
3
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
8
7
6.06.8
0
27.8 |-0.43-0.43
70
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
144
308
164
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
83
70
10
0.00
 |
0
4
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
5
10
5.09.2
0
29.2 |0.170.17
144
 |
|
168
102
-66
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
80
69
13
0.00
 |
3
5
1.00.0
0
9.0 |
6
10
5.58.3
0
29.8 |0.430.43
169
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
290
379
89
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
81
70
12
0.00
 |
2
4
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
11
9
5.56.6
0
32.1 |1.421.42
290
 |
|
336
543
207
 |bworthisu
3
 |
83
71
8
0.00
 |
0
3
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
10
12
4.06.9
0
32.9 |1.761.76
336
 |
|
341
181
-160
 |elboalisu
4
 |
85
70
20
0.00
 |
2
4
4.50.0
0
10.5 |
8
10
9.55.5
0
33.0 |1.811.81
342
 |
|
415
442
27
 |billgaisu
1
 |
82
70
16
0.00
 |
1
4
2.50.0
0
7.5 |
9
11
7.07.2
0
34.2 |2.322.32
416
 |
|
415
329
-86
 |conoanisu
3
 |
80
69
12
0.02
 |
3
5
0.50.8
0
9.3 |
11
11
5.56.7
0
34.2 |2.322.32
422
 |
|
424
480
56
 |bengelisu
3
 |
85
70
9
0.00
 |
2
4
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
9
10
5.59.8
0
34.3 |2.372.37
424
 |
|
443
303
-140
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
82
71
23
0.00
 |
1
3
6.00.0
0
10.0 |
10
7
11.06.6
0
34.6 |2.502.50
445
 |
|
452
644
192
 |morrisisu
3
 |
83
71
10
0.04
 |
0
3
0.51.6
0
5.1 |
12
8
5.59.3
0
34.8 |2.582.58
453
 |
|
514
716
202
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
83
69
11
0.00
 |
0
5
0.00.0
0
5.0 |
9
12
7.57.7
0
36.2 |3.183.18
514
 |
|
632
693
61
 |logankisu
3
 |
81
72
3
0.00
 |
2
2
4.00.0
0
8.0 |
7
14
11.06.8
0
38.8 |4.304.30
634
 |
|
746
852
106
 |schaffisu
3
 |
84
70
15
0.00
 |
1
4
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
14
12
7.57.8
0
41.3 |5.385.38
746
 |
|
786
897
111
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
81
72
6
0.00
 |
2
2
2.50.0
0
6.5 |
18
11
8.05.2
0
42.2 |5.775.77
787
 |
|
884
1012
128
 |rach87isu
4
 |
84
70
15
0.00
 |
1
4
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
15
15
8.08.3
0
46.3 |7.537.53
884
 |
|
962
992
30
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
83
65
15
0.00
 |
0
9
2.00.0
0
11.0 |
11
12
4.512.1
10
49.6 |8.958.95
962
 |
|
973
1085
112
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
83
69
16
0.00
 |
0
5
2.50.0
0
7.5 |
8
11
7.013.9
10
49.9 |9.089.08
973
 |
|
978
973
-5
 |bschweisu
3
 |
78
68
8
0.00
 |
5
6
1.50.0
0
12.5 |
14
22
7.07.2
0
50.2 |9.219.21
978
 |
|
978
1154
176
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
82
72
13
0.00
 |
1
2
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
13
8
4.514.7
10
50.2 |9.219.21
978
 |
|
978
914
-64
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
85
66
19
0.00
 |
2
8
4.00.0
0
14.0 |
16
16
10.57.7
0
50.2 |9.219.21
978
 |
|
1012
133
-879
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
83
65
17
1.00
 |
0
9
3.018.5
0
30.5 |
6
16
9.520.5
0
52.0 |9.989.98
1014
 |
|
1067
1147
80
 |gingerisu
3
 |
85
67
8
0.00
 |
2
7
1.50.0
0
10.5 |
14
18
9.015.3
0
56.3 |11.8311.83
1067
 |
|
1131
1161
30
 |srab24isu
4
1
 |
80
69
15
0.12
 |
3
5
2.04.6
0
14.6 |
12
17
14.57.7
10
61.2 |13.9413.94
1131
 |
|
1181
1274
93
 |cskallisu
4
1
 |
80
72
5
0.00
 |
3
2
3.00.0
0
8.0 |
16
7
11.021.7
10
65.7 |15.8815.88
1182
 |
|
1246
1043
-203
 |MPHoffisu
4
1
 |
78
65
4
0.18
C |
5
9
3.56.4
10
33.9 |
16
17
9.022.4
10
74.4 |19.6219.62
1246
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 28.80 Consensus Standard Deviation: 23.24|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 34.2 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 32.1 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 25.8 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 27.8 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |