|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 3 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (80°F) Min: (71°F) Wind (13 knots) Precip: 0.27" - Final Day 3|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 18.6 )MPHoff (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 4.4 )adeppe (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 232 )bengel (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -399 )jedmon (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 3 Forecast
|
Day 3 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
117
85
-32
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
82
73
8
0.28
 |
2
2
2.50.2
0
6.7 |
8
5
5.03.1
0
21.1 |0.160.16
118
 |
|
149
446
297
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
80
73
12
0.24
 |
0
2
0.50.7
0
3.2 |
6
8
5.02.8
0
21.8 |0.530.53
150
 |
|
427
290
-137
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
84
74
9
0.29
 |
4
3
2.00.4
0
9.4 |
8
9
5.54.0
0
26.5 |3.023.02
429
 |
|
543
597
54
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
80
73
16
0.11
 |
0
2
1.54.6
0
8.1 |
7
7
5.58.9
0
28.4 |4.034.03
543
 |
|
721
459
-262
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
80
72
7
0.89
 |
0
1
3.08.5
0
12.5 |
7
4
7.512.9
0
31.4 |5.625.62
721
 |
|
960
941
-19
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
87
69
13
0.18
 |
7
2
0.02.5
0
11.5 |
15
6
7.58.9
0
37.4 |8.798.79
961
 |
|
1072
989
-83
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
78
65
4
0.18
 |
2
6
4.52.5
0
15.0 |
13
10
10.08.9
0
41.9 |11.1811.18
1072
 |
|
1075
1191
116
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
78
75
14
0.31
 |
2
4
0.50.8
0
7.3 |
14
18
4.06.0
0
42.0 |11.2311.23
1076
 |
|
1196
989
-207
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
78
65
4
0.00
 |
2
6
4.58.9
0
21.4 |
13
10
10.015.3
0
48.3 |14.5714.57
1196
 |
|
102
344
242
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
81
72
11
0.28
 |
1
1
1.00.2
0
3.2 |
7
5
5.03.8
0
20.8 |0.000.00
107
 |
|
176
386
210
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
82
72
11
0.29
 |
2
1
1.00.4
0
4.4 |
9
4
5.04.4
0
22.4 |0.850.85
179
 |
|
20
12
-8
 |prentiisu
3
 |
84
72
13
0.31
 |
4
1
0.00.8
0
5.8 |
8
4
3.02.3
0
17.3 |-1.85-1.85
20
 |
|
102
219
117
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
80
70
10
0.20
 |
0
1
1.51.9
0
4.4 |
3
5
4.58.3
0
20.8 |-0.00-0.00
102
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
133
219
86
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
80
70
8
0.35
 |
0
1
2.51.6
0
5.1 |
6
7
6.52.0
0
21.5 |0.370.37
134
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
181
357
176
 |elboalisu
4
 |
81
73
15
0.24
 |
1
2
1.00.7
0
4.7 |
6
6
5.05.5
0
22.5 |0.900.90
183
 |
|
303
242
-61
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
83
74
11
0.23
 |
3
3
1.01.0
0
8.0 |
9
4
5.06.6
0
24.6 |2.012.01
307
 |
|
308
242
-66
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
80
75
12
0.45
 |
0
4
0.53.6
0
8.1 |
5
6
4.59.2
0
24.7 |2.072.07
309
 |
|
320
415
95
 |rall89isu
4
 |
83
72
9
0.25
 |
3
1
2.00.4
0
6.4 |
8
4
6.06.8
0
24.8 |2.122.12
320
 |
|
329
386
57
 |conoanisu
3
 |
78
73
11
0.20
 |
2
2
1.01.9
0
6.9 |
8
6
5.05.9
0
24.9 |2.172.17
331
 |
|
379
311
-68
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
84
72
10
0.36
 |
4
1
1.51.8
0
8.3 |
9
5
5.06.6
0
25.6 |2.542.54
382
 |
|
442
395
-47
 |billgaisu
1
 |
84
73
11
0.35
 |
4
2
1.01.6
0
8.6 |
8
7
4.57.2
0
26.7 |3.133.13
442
 |
|
480
712
232
 |bengelisu
3
 |
81
72
13
0.15
 |
1
1
0.03.4
0
5.4 |
7
6
4.59.8
0
27.3 |3.443.44
480
 |
|
543
747
204
 |bworthisu
3
 |
80
74
12
0.18
 |
0
3
0.52.5
0
6.0 |
10
9
2.56.9
0
28.4 |4.034.03
545
 |
|
644
311
-333
 |morrisisu
3
 |
84
73
10
0.10
 |
4
2
1.54.9
0
12.4 |
12
5
5.07.7
0
29.7 |4.714.71
644
 |
|
693
712
19
 |logankisu
3
 |
79
66
8
0.25
 |
1
5
2.50.4
0
8.9 |
5
12
7.06.8
0
30.8 |5.305.30
693
 |
|
716
317
-399
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
84
74
10
0.57
 |
4
3
1.55.3
0
13.8 |
9
7
7.57.7
0
31.2 |5.515.51
717
 |
|
852
989
137
 |schaffisu
3
 |
82
73
13
0.15
 |
2
2
0.03.4
0
7.4 |
13
8
5.57.8
0
34.3 |7.157.15
852
 |
|
897
936
39
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
78
73
10
0.50
 |
2
2
1.54.6
0
10.1 |
16
9
5.55.2
0
35.7 |7.897.89
897
 |
|
914
1036
122
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
83
71
8
0.18
 |
3
0
2.52.5
0
8.0 |
14
8
6.57.7
0
36.2 |8.168.16
915
 |
|
973
1123
150
 |bschweisu
3
 |
81
69
15
0.21
 |
1
2
1.01.6
0
5.6 |
9
16
5.57.2
0
37.7 |8.958.95
973
 |
|
992
1151
159
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
82
70
13
0.40
 |
2
1
0.02.6
0
5.6 |
11
3
2.512.1
10
38.6 |9.439.43
992
 |
|
1012
1147
135
 |rach87isu
4
 |
80
74
10
0.20
 |
0
3
1.51.9
0
6.4 |
14
11
6.08.3
0
39.3 |9.809.80
1012
 |
|
1043
712
-331
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
84
75
15
1.00
 |
4
4
1.09.6
0
18.6 |
11
8
5.516.0
0
40.5 |10.4410.44
1043
 |
|
1085
1156
71
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
79
72
10
0.61
 |
1
1
1.55.7
0
9.2 |
8
6
4.513.9
10
42.4 |11.4411.44
1085
 |
|
1147
1038
-109
 |gingerisu
3
 |
84
69
8
0.00
 |
4
2
2.58.9
0
17.4 |
12
11
7.515.3
0
45.8 |13.2413.24
1147
 |
|
1154
1267
113
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
82
73
14
0.20
 |
2
2
0.51.9
0
6.4 |
12
6
3.514.7
10
46.2 |13.4613.46
1154
 |
|
1161
1163
2
 |srab24isu
4
1
 |
80
63
9
0.16
 |
0
8
2.03.1
0
13.1 |
9
12
12.53.1
10
46.6 |13.6713.67
1162
 |
|
1274
1288
14
 |cskallisu
4
1
 |
81
72
7
0.00
 |
1
1
3.08.9
0
13.9 |
13
5
8.021.7
10
57.7 |19.5519.55
1274
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 20.80 Consensus Standard Deviation: 18.88|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 24.6 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 25.6 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 17.3 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 21.5 )emilye (isu) |
|
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 |