|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 2 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (87°F) Min: (69°F) Wind (13 knots) Precip: 0.18" - Final Day 2|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 25.5 )srab24 (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 5.9 )jedmon (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 751 )jedmon (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -676 )bengel (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 2 Forecast
|
Day 2 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
85
36
-49
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
83
72
9
0.29
 |
4
3
2.02.9
0
11.9 |
6
3
2.52.9
0
14.4 |-2.64-2.64
85
 |
|
290
177
-113
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
84
73
8
0.07
 |
3
4
2.53.6
0
13.1 |
4
6
3.53.6
0
17.1 |-0.41-0.41
290
 |
|
446
610
164
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
82
71
7
0.25
 |
5
2
3.02.1
0
12.1 |
6
6
4.52.1
0
18.6 |0.820.82
450
 |
|
459
36
-423
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
81
67
5
0.05
 |
6
2
4.04.4
0
16.4 |
7
3
4.54.4
0
18.9 |1.071.07
459
 |
|
597
753
156
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
82
70
8
0.36
 |
5
1
2.54.3
0
12.8 |
7
5
4.04.3
0
20.3 |2.232.23
597
 |
|
941
904
-37
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
82
67
6
0.00
 |
5
2
3.56.4
0
16.9 |
8
4
7.56.4
0
25.9 |6.846.84
941
 |
|
989
1066
77
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
79
66
4
0.18
 |
8
3
4.50.0
0
15.5 |
11
4
5.56.4
0
26.9 |7.677.67
990
 |
|
989
332
-657
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
79
66
4
0.00
 |
8
3
4.56.4
0
21.9 |
11
4
5.56.4
0
26.9 |7.677.67
990
 |
|
1191
1152
-39
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
79
75
11
0.03
 |
8
6
1.05.2
0
20.2 |
12
14
3.55.2
0
34.7 |14.1014.10
1191
 |
|
344
428
84
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
82
71
9
0.08
 |
5
2
2.03.2
0
12.2 |
6
4
4.03.6
0
17.6 |0.000.00
349
 |
|
386
515
129
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
82
70
9
0.06
 |
5
1
2.04.0
0
12.0 |
7
3
4.04.0
0
18.0 |0.330.33
386
 |
|
12
18
6
 |prentiisu
3
 |
83
72
11
0.13
 |
4
3
1.01.5
0
9.5 |
4
3
3.01.5
0
11.5 |-5.03-5.03
12
 |
|
219
261
42
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
84
70
10
0.00
 |
3
1
1.56.4
0
11.9 |
3
4
3.06.4
0
16.4 |-0.99-0.99
219
 |
|
219
750
531
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
82
70
7
0.18
 |
5
1
3.00.0
0
9.0 |
6
6
4.00.4
0
16.4 |-0.99-0.99
219
 |
|
242
261
19
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
83
70
10
0.02
 |
4
1
1.55.6
0
12.1 |
6
1
4.05.6
0
16.6 |-0.82-0.82
244
 |
|
242
177
-65
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
82
69
9
0.02
 |
5
0
2.05.6
0
12.6 |
5
2
4.05.6
0
16.6 |-0.82-0.82
244
 |
|
311
177
-134
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
83
72
10
0.04
 |
4
3
1.54.8
0
13.3 |
5
4
3.54.8
0
17.3 |-0.25-0.25
311
 |
|
311
118
-193
 |morrisisu
3
 |
80
71
9
0.09
 |
7
2
2.02.8
0
13.8 |
8
3
3.52.8
0
17.3 |-0.25-0.25
311
 |
|
317
1068
751
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
86
70
10
0.10
 |
1
1
1.52.4
0
5.9 |
5
4
6.02.4
0
17.4 |-0.16-0.16
317
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
357
118
-239
 |elboalisu
4
 |
83
72
8
0.04
 |
4
3
2.54.8
0
14.3 |
5
4
4.04.8
0
17.8 |0.160.16
357
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
386
753
367
 |conoanisu
3
 |
83
68
10
0.06
 |
4
1
1.54.0
0
10.5 |
6
4
4.04.0
0
18.0 |0.330.33
386
 |
|
395
332
-63
 |billgaisu
1
 |
83
71
10
0.02
 |
4
2
1.55.6
0
13.1 |
4
5
3.55.6
0
18.1 |0.410.41
395
 |
|
415
77
-338
 |rall89isu
4
 |
82
71
9
0.00
 |
5
2
2.06.4
0
15.4 |
5
3
4.06.4
0
18.4 |0.660.66
415
 |
|
712
36
-676
 |bengelisu
3
 |
81
73
7
0.00
 |
6
4
3.06.4
0
19.4 |
6
5
4.56.4
0
21.9 |3.543.54
712
 |
|
712
610
-102
 |logankisu
3
 |
85
65
7
0.00
 |
2
4
3.06.4
0
15.4 |
4
7
4.56.4
0
21.9 |3.543.54
712
 |
|
712
676
-36
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
83
71
8
0.00
 |
4
2
2.56.4
0
14.9 |
7
4
4.56.4
0
21.9 |3.543.54
712
 |
|
747
676
-71
 |bworthisu
3
 |
80
72
11
0.05
 |
7
3
1.04.4
0
15.4 |
10
6
2.04.4
0
22.4 |3.963.96
747
 |
|
936
1042
106
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
78
72
9
0.20
 |
9
3
2.00.6
0
14.6 |
14
7
4.00.6
0
25.6 |6.596.59
938
 |
|
989
1068
79
 |schaffisu
3
 |
80
71
9
0.05
 |
7
2
2.04.4
0
15.4 |
11
6
5.54.4
0
26.9 |7.677.67
990
 |
|
1036
1068
32
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
80
72
10
0.03
 |
7
3
1.55.2
0
16.7 |
11
8
4.05.2
0
28.2 |8.748.74
1036
 |
|
1038
515
-523
 |gingerisu
3
 |
80
64
5
0.00
 |
7
5
4.06.4
0
22.4 |
8
9
5.06.4
0
28.4 |8.908.90
1038
 |
|
1123
1114
-9
 |bschweisu
3
 |
80
75
12
0.02
 |
7
6
0.55.6
0
19.1 |
8
14
4.55.6
0
32.1 |11.9511.95
1124
 |
|
1147
1012
-135
 |rach87isu
4
 |
78
72
5
0.00
 |
9
3
4.06.4
0
22.4 |
14
8
4.56.4
0
32.9 |12.6112.61
1147
 |
|
1151
1185
34
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
81
70
10
0.30
 |
6
1
1.53.1
0
11.6 |
9
2
2.59.5
10
33.0 |12.6912.69
1151
 |
|
1156
1185
29
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
83
73
9
0.12
 |
4
4
2.01.8
0
11.8 |
7
5
3.08.2
10
33.2 |12.8612.86
1156
 |
|
1163
809
-354
 |srab24isu
4
1
 |
79
66
4
0.18
C |
8
3
4.50.0
10
25.5 |
9
4
10.50.0
10
33.5 |13.1113.11
1163
 |
|
1267
1185
-82
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
80
66
9
0.00
 |
7
3
2.06.4
0
18.4 |
10
4
3.012.8
10
39.8 |18.3018.30
1267
 |
|
1288
1185
-103
 |cskallisu
4
1
 |
78
66
5
0.00
 |
9
3
4.06.4
0
22.4 |
12
4
5.012.8
10
43.8 |21.6021.60
1288
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 17.60 Consensus Standard Deviation: 12.13|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 16.6 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 17.3 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 11.5 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 16.4 )emilye (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |