|
Local Results for Cape Hatteras, NC Day 1 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (82°F) Min: (67°F) Wind (6 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 1|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 21.4 )cskall (isu) hamham (isu) jdduda (isu) shomtm (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 2.0 )prenti (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 0 )|
| Biggest Decrease : ( 0 )|
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 1 Forecast
|
Day 1 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
36
0
0
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
81
66
5
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |-3.98-3.98
36
 |
|
36
0
0
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
80
67
7
0.00
 |
2
0
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
2
0
0.50.0
0
2.5 |-3.98-3.98
36
 |
|
177
0
0
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
83
69
8
0.00
 |
1
2
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
1
2
1.00.0
0
4.0 |-1.92-1.92
177
 |
|
332
0
0
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
79
66
4
0.00
 |
3
1
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
3
1
1.00.0
0
5.0 |-0.55-0.55
332
 |
|
610
0
0
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
81
71
9
0.00
 |
1
4
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
1
4
1.50.0
0
6.5 |1.511.51
610
 |
|
753
0
0
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
80
71
9
0.00
 |
2
4
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
2
4
1.50.0
0
7.5 |2.882.88
753
 |
|
904
0
0
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
79
69
14
0.00
 |
3
2
4.00.0
0
9.0 |
3
2
4.00.0
0
9.0 |4.944.94
904
 |
|
1066
0
0
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
79
66
4
0.18
 |
3
1
1.06.4
0
11.4 |
3
1
1.06.4
0
11.4 |8.238.23
1066
 |
|
1152
0
0
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
78
75
11
0.00
 |
4
8
2.50.0
0
14.5 |
4
8
2.50.0
0
14.5 |12.4812.48
1152
 |
|
428
0
0
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
81
69
10
0.01
 |
1
2
2.00.4
0
5.4 |
1
2
2.00.4
0
5.4 |0.000.00
428
 |
|
515
0
0
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
80
69
10
0.00
 |
2
2
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
2
2
2.00.0
0
6.0 |0.820.82
515
 |
|
18
0
0
 |prentiisu
3
 |
82
67
10
0.00
 |
0
0
2.00.0
0
2.0 |
0
0
2.00.0
0
2.0 |-4.66-4.66
18
 |
|
36
0
0
 |bengelisu
3
 |
82
68
9
0.00
 |
0
1
1.50.0
0
2.5 |
0
1
1.50.0
0
2.5 |-3.98-3.98
36
 |
|
77
0
0
 |rall89isu
4
 |
82
68
10
0.00
 |
0
1
2.00.0
0
3.0 |
0
1
2.00.0
0
3.0 |-3.29-3.29
77
 |
|
118
0
0
 |elboalisu
4
 |
81
68
9
0.00
 |
1
1
1.50.0
0
3.5 |
1
1
1.50.0
0
3.5 |-2.60-2.60
118
 |
|
118
0
0
 |morrisisu
3
 |
83
66
9
0.00
 |
1
1
1.50.0
0
3.5 |
1
1
1.50.0
0
3.5 |-2.60-2.60
118
 |
|
177
0
0
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
82
69
10
0.00
 |
0
2
2.00.0
0
4.0 |
0
2
2.00.0
0
4.0 |-1.92-1.92
177
 |
|
177
0
0
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
81
68
10
0.00
 |
1
1
2.00.0
0
4.0 |
1
1
2.00.0
0
4.0 |-1.92-1.92
177
 |
|
261
0
0
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
82
70
9
0.00
 |
0
3
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
0
3
1.50.0
0
4.5 |-1.23-1.23
261
 |
|
261
0
0
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
80
67
11
0.00
 |
2
0
2.50.0
0
4.5 |
2
0
2.50.0
0
4.5 |-1.23-1.23
261
 |
|
332
0
0
 |billgaisu
1
 |
82
70
10
0.00
 |
0
3
2.00.0
0
5.0 |
0
3
2.00.0
0
5.0 |-0.55-0.55
332
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
515
0
0
 |gingerisu
3
 |
81
71
4
0.00
 |
1
4
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
1
4
1.00.0
0
6.0 |0.820.82
515
 |
|
610
0
0
 |logankisu
3
 |
80
70
9
0.00
 |
2
3
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
2
3
1.50.0
0
6.5 |1.511.51
610
 |
|
676
0
0
 |bworthisu
3
 |
79
70
8
0.00
 |
3
3
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
3
3
1.00.0
0
7.0 |2.192.19
676
 |
|
676
0
0
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
79
69
10
0.00
 |
3
2
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
3
2
2.00.0
0
7.0 |2.192.19
676
 |
|
750
0
0
 |emilyeisu
4
 |
83
72
8
0.01
 |
1
5
1.00.4
0
7.4 |
1
5
1.00.4
0
7.4 |2.742.74
750
 |
|
753
0
0
 |conoanisu
3
 |
80
70
11
0.00
 |
2
3
2.50.0
0
7.5 |
2
3
2.50.0
0
7.5 |2.882.88
753
 |
|
809
0
0
 |srab24isu
4
 |
81
68
18
0.00
 |
1
1
6.00.0
0
8.0 |
1
1
6.00.0
0
8.0 |3.563.56
809
 |
|
1012
0
0
 |rach87isu
4
 |
77
72
5
0.00
 |
5
5
0.50.0
0
10.5 |
5
5
0.50.0
0
10.5 |6.996.99
1012
 |
|
1042
0
0
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
77
71
10
0.00
 |
5
4
2.00.0
0
11.0 |
5
4
2.00.0
0
11.0 |7.687.68
1042
 |
|
1068
0
0
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
78
64
15
0.00
 |
4
3
4.50.0
0
11.5 |
4
3
4.50.0
0
11.5 |8.368.36
1068
 |
|
1068
0
0
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
78
72
11
0.00
 |
4
5
2.50.0
0
11.5 |
4
5
2.50.0
0
11.5 |8.368.36
1068
 |
|
1068
0
0
 |schaffisu
3
 |
78
71
13
0.00
 |
4
4
3.50.0
0
11.5 |
4
4
3.50.0
0
11.5 |8.368.36
1068
 |
|
1114
0
0
 |bschweisu
3
 |
81
75
14
0.00
 |
1
8
4.00.0
0
13.0 |
1
8
4.00.0
0
13.0 |10.4210.42
1115
 |
|
1185
0
0
 |cskallisu
4
1
 |
79
66
4
0.18
C |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |21.9421.94
1185
 |
|
1185
0
0
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
79
66
4
0.18
C |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |21.9421.94
1185
 |
|
1185
0
0
 |jddudaisu
3
1
 |
79
66
4
0.18
C |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |21.9421.94
1185
 |
|
1185
0
0
 |shomtmisu
3
1
 |
79
66
4
0.18
C |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |
3
1
1.06.4
10
21.4 |21.9421.94
1185
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 82/67/6/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 83/71/15/0.24
Day 2 : 87/69/13/0.18 ...... Day 6 : 85/71/10/0.10
Day 3 : 80/71/13/0.27 ...... Day 7 : 81/73/12/0.00
Day 4 : 83/74/11/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 85/73/13/0.33
|
| Consensus Score: 5.40 Consensus Standard Deviation: 7.29|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 4.5 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 4.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 2.0 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 3.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |