|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 8 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (57°F) Min: (43°F) Wind (35 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 8|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 37.2 )logank (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 7.0 )gehrts (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 169 )adeppe (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -143 )bschwe (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 8 Forecast
|
Day 8 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
73
21
-52
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
62
33
30
0.00
 |
5
10
2.50.0
0
17.5 |
16
30
16.512.7
0
75.2 |-4.04-1.53
123
 |
|
81
31
-50
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
62
32
33
0.00
 |
5
11
1.00.0
0
17.0 |
21
29
15.010.8
0
75.8 |-3.85-2.22
78
 |
|
234
302
68
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
62
40
31
0.00
 |
5
3
2.00.0
0
10.0 |
25
28
19.011.4
0
83.4 |-1.471.37
426
 |
|
530
476
-54
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
62
36
27
0.01
 |
5
7
4.00.4
0
16.4 |
36
33
19.08.0
0
96.0 |2.473.02
585
 |
|
553
573
20
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
65
40
31
0.01
 |
8
3
2.00.4
0
13.4 |
34
34
15.513.3
0
96.8 |2.721.37
427
 |
|
661
782
121
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
57
42
19
0.01
 |
0
1
8.00.4
0
9.4 |
32
25
27.017.5
0
101.5 |4.191.71
459
 |
|
1138
1114
-24
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
57
32
5
0.00
 |
0
11
15.00.0
0
26.0 |
49
36
58.56.0
0
149.5 |19.2219.41
1177
 |
|
1143
1145
2
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
51
33
22
0.00
 |
6
10
6.50.0
0
22.5 |
56
50
34.010.4
0
150.4 |19.5016.10
1116
 |
|
1164
1145
-19
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
57
32
5
0.03
 |
0
11
15.01.2
0
27.2 |
49
36
58.511.6
0
155.1 |20.9723.79
1221
 |
|
289
297
8
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
60
39
25
0.01
 |
3
4
5.00.4
0
12.4 |
25
26
23.511.0
0
85.5 |-0.810.07
278
 |
|
347
356
9
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
59
38
25
0.01
 |
2
5
5.00.4
0
12.4 |
25
28
22.013.1
0
88.1 |0.0014.62
1085
 |
|
72
70
-2
 |prentiisu
3
 |
61
37
31
0.00
 |
4
6
2.00.0
0
12.0 |
24
24
17.59.6
0
75.1 |-4.07-1.78
98
 |
|
81
101
20
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
60
39
28
0.00
 |
3
4
3.50.0
0
10.5 |
19
24
21.011.8
0
75.8 |-3.85-0.19
256
 |
|
89
182
93
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
59
39
33
0.00
 |
2
4
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
24
23
16.013.1
0
76.1 |-3.76-0.70
204
 |
|
228
342
114
 |rall89isu
4
 |
59
42
25
0.00
 |
2
1
5.00.0
0
8.0 |
23
28
21.011.0
0
83.0 |-1.60-0.45
223
 |
|
283
270
-13
 |billgaisu
1
 |
62
39
27
0.00
 |
5
4
4.00.0
0
13.0 |
31
26
21.56.8
0
85.3 |-0.88-0.34
241
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
292
409
117
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
58
39
29
0.00
 |
1
4
3.00.0
0
8.0 |
31
21
24.09.6
0
85.6 |-0.781.89
485
 |
|
317
424
107
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
60
40
29
0.00
 |
3
3
3.00.0
0
9.0 |
29
30
19.09.0
0
87.0 |-0.341.49
435
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
399
547
148
 |morrisisu
3
 |
59
43
24
0.00
 |
2
0
5.50.0
0
7.5 |
30
27
25.57.6
0
90.1 |0.630.56
340
 |
|
485
635
150
 |bengelisu
3
 |
59
38
32
0.00
 |
2
5
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
26
35
23.59.6
0
94.1 |1.880.08
280
 |
|
514
468
-46
 |schaffisu
3
 |
60
37
21
0.00
 |
3
6
7.00.0
0
16.0 |
27
35
22.510.8
0
95.3 |2.250.95
396
 |
|
561
600
39
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
62
40
25
0.00
 |
5
3
5.00.0
0
13.0 |
27
24
29.07.2
10
97.2 |2.850.82
376
 |
|
561
730
169
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
60
42
27
0.00
 |
3
1
4.00.0
0
8.0 |
33
29
26.58.7
0
97.2 |2.853.45
624
 |
|
589
446
-143
 |bschweisu
3
 |
58
39
12
0.08
 |
1
4
11.53.2
0
19.7 |
24
31
28.015.4
0
98.4 |3.220.96
398
 |
|
674
762
88
 |conoanisu
3
 |
58
38
25
0.00
 |
1
5
5.00.0
0
11.0 |
34
33
20.514.6
0
102.1 |4.380.38
322
 |
|
678
715
37
 |srab24isu
4
 |
58
37
22
0.00
 |
1
6
6.50.0
0
13.5 |
27
30
33.012.3
0
102.3 |4.446.44
801
 |
|
702
706
4
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
59
40
15
0.00
 |
2
3
10.00.0
0
15.0 |
23
44
30.56.0
0
103.5 |4.827.75
873
 |
|
785
760
-25
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
60
34
28
0.02
 |
3
9
3.50.8
0
16.3 |
31
38
23.015.3
0
107.3 |6.012.97
581
 |
|
788
863
75
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
59
39
25
0.00
 |
2
4
5.00.0
0
11.0 |
32
38
28.09.9
0
107.9 |6.207.67
868
 |
|
868
894
26
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
63
40
23
0.00
 |
6
3
6.00.0
0
15.0 |
33
33
29.08.6
10
113.6 |7.9818.00
1154
 |
|
947
960
13
 |mcneilisu
3
1
 |
60
37
29
0.15
 |
3
6
3.05.5
0
17.5 |
24
44
30.013.5
10
121.5 |10.454.81
720
 |
|
960
1043
83
 |rach87isu
4
2
 |
60
40
28
0.00
 |
3
3
3.50.0
0
9.5 |
28
31
25.518.4
20
122.9 |10.8911.34
1000
 |
|
1022
1130
108
 |elboalisu
4
3
 |
57
39
32
0.00
 |
0
4
1.50.0
0
5.5 |
33
31
25.012.0
30
131.0 |13.439.32
939
 |
|
1037
1080
43
 |bworthisu
3
2
 |
61
40
21
0.00
 |
4
3
7.00.0
0
14.0 |
40
31
31.510.4
20
132.9 |14.021.25
419
 |
|
1104
978
-126
 |logankisu
3
1
 |
57
32
5
0.03
C |
0
11
15.01.2
10
37.2 |
26
53
40.513.4
10
142.9 |17.1512.11
1019
 |
|
1134
1118
-16
 |emilyeisu
4
2
 |
50
39
17
0.12
 |
7
4
9.04.6
0
24.6 |
38
31
31.528.0
20
148.5 |18.9018.63
1166
 |
|
1152
1151
-1
 |gingerisu
3
2
 |
67
37
20
0.00
 |
10
6
7.50.0
0
23.5 |
48
32
43.08.8
20
151.8 |19.9415.62
1107
 |
|
1287
1281
-6
 |cskallisu
4
6
 |
57
32
5
0.03
C |
0
11
15.01.2
10
37.2 |
41
38
59.59.2
60
207.7 |37.4336.32
1299
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 88.10 Consensus Standard Deviation: 31.95|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 85.3 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 75.8 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 75.1 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 83.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
For questions, comments, or corrections, please contact the WxChallenge Manager (manager@wxchallenge.com)
 |