|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 7 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (51°F) Min: (33°F) Wind (22 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 7|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 26.7 )hamham (isu) bworth (isu) ginger (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 4.0 )conoan (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 109 )conoan (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -410 )hamham (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 7 Forecast
|
Day 7 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
21
41
20
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
52
32
23
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
11
20
14.012.7
0
57.7 |-6.40-2.12
76
 |
|
31
52
21
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
52
32
23
0.00
 |
1
1
0.50.0
0
2.5 |
16
18
14.010.8
0
58.8 |-6.00-2.76
40
 |
|
302
234
-68
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
54
36
28
0.00
 |
3
3
3.00.0
0
9.0 |
20
25
17.011.4
0
73.4 |-0.821.53
445
 |
|
476
300
-176
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
60
35
17
0.00
 |
9
2
2.50.0
0
13.5 |
31
26
15.07.6
0
79.6 |1.392.75
576
 |
|
573
649
76
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
54
34
18
0.00
 |
3
1
2.00.0
0
6.0 |
26
31
13.512.9
0
83.4 |2.741.38
431
 |
|
782
852
70
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
52
34
14
0.00
 |
1
1
4.00.0
0
6.0 |
32
24
19.017.1
0
92.1 |5.832.12
511
 |
|
1114
1112
-2
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
58
33
5
0.00
 |
7
0
8.50.0
0
15.5 |
49
25
43.56.0
0
123.5 |16.9818.85
1170
 |
|
1145
1184
39
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
49
38
19
0.02
 |
2
5
1.50.8
0
9.3 |
50
40
27.510.4
0
127.9 |18.5515.86
1112
 |
|
1145
1137
-8
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
58
33
5
0.03
 |
7
0
8.51.2
0
16.7 |
49
25
43.510.4
0
127.9 |18.5523.19
1218
 |
|
297
248
-49
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
54
36
17
0.00
 |
3
3
2.50.0
0
8.5 |
22
22
18.510.6
0
73.1 |-0.920.04
289
 |
|
356
317
-39
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
54
36
17
0.01
 |
3
3
2.50.4
0
8.9 |
23
23
17.012.7
0
75.7 |0.0014.62
1093
 |
|
70
83
13
 |prentiisu
3
 |
52
32
17
0.00
 |
1
1
2.50.0
0
4.5 |
20
18
15.59.6
0
63.1 |-4.48-1.88
96
 |
|
101
93
-8
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
54
33
16
0.00
 |
3
0
3.00.0
0
6.0 |
16
20
17.511.8
0
65.3 |-3.70-0.15
262
 |
|
182
206
24
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
52
35
17
0.00
 |
1
2
2.50.0
0
5.5 |
22
19
15.013.1
0
69.1 |-2.35-0.34
237
 |
|
270
291
21
 |billgaisu
1
 |
54
34
17
0.00
 |
3
1
2.50.0
0
6.5 |
26
22
17.56.8
0
72.3 |-1.21-0.42
229
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
342
310
-32
 |rall89isu
4
 |
54
36
17
0.00
 |
3
3
2.50.0
0
8.5 |
21
27
16.011.0
0
75.0 |-0.25-0.11
269
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
409
388
-21
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
56
35
19
0.00
 |
5
2
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
30
17
21.09.6
0
77.6 |0.682.26
526
 |
|
424
420
-4
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
54
36
18
0.00
 |
3
3
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
26
27
16.09.0
0
78.0 |0.821.78
472
 |
|
446
424
-22
 |bschweisu
3
 |
54
35
15
0.00
 |
3
2
3.50.0
0
8.5 |
23
27
16.512.2
0
78.7 |1.070.42
334
 |
|
468
428
-40
 |schaffisu
3
 |
56
36
20
0.00
 |
5
3
1.00.0
0
9.0 |
24
29
15.510.8
0
79.3 |1.280.71
370
 |
|
547
597
50
 |morrisisu
3
 |
55
34
18
0.00
 |
4
1
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
28
27
20.07.6
0
82.6 |2.451.02
407
 |
|
600
668
68
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
54
35
19
0.00
 |
3
2
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
22
21
24.07.2
10
84.2 |3.020.86
392
 |
|
635
629
-6
 |bengelisu
3
 |
55
32
14
0.00
 |
4
1
4.00.0
0
9.0 |
24
30
22.09.6
0
85.6 |3.520.08
291
 |
|
706
659
-47
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
55
40
22
0.00
 |
4
7
0.00.0
0
11.0 |
21
41
20.56.0
0
88.5 |4.557.68
877
 |
|
715
589
-126
 |srab24isu
4
 |
55
39
15
0.00
 |
4
6
3.50.0
0
13.5 |
26
24
26.512.3
0
88.8 |4.656.49
814
 |
|
730
642
-88
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
54
38
14
0.00
 |
3
5
4.00.0
0
12.0 |
30
28
22.58.7
0
89.2 |4.803.94
660
 |
|
760
714
-46
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
56
36
15
0.00
 |
5
3
3.50.0
0
11.5 |
28
29
19.514.5
0
91.0 |5.442.83
583
 |
|
762
871
109
 |conoanisu
3
 |
53
32
20
0.00
 |
2
1
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
33
28
15.514.6
0
91.1 |5.470.65
362
 |
|
863
796
-67
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
56
41
20
0.00
 |
5
8
1.00.0
0
14.0 |
30
34
23.09.9
0
96.9 |7.538.00
887
 |
|
894
484
-410
 |hamhamisu
3
1
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
7
0
8.51.2
10
26.7 |
27
30
23.08.6
10
98.6 |8.1418.04
1158
 |
|
960
936
-24
 |mcneilisu
3
1
 |
55
37
13
0.01
 |
4
4
4.50.4
0
12.9 |
21
38
27.08.0
10
104.0 |10.064.71
714
 |
|
978
953
-25
 |logankisu
3
 |
55
40
17
0.00
 |
4
7
2.50.0
0
13.5 |
26
42
25.512.2
0
105.7 |10.6610.49
979
 |
|
1043
1062
19
 |rach87isu
4
2
 |
54
40
19
0.00
 |
3
7
1.50.0
0
11.5 |
25
28
22.018.4
20
113.4 |13.4011.96
1020
 |
|
1080
953
-127
 |bworthisu
3
2
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
7
0
8.51.2
10
26.7 |
36
28
24.510.4
20
118.9 |15.351.25
422
 |
|
1118
1133
15
 |emilyeisu
4
2
 |
52
40
12
0.00
 |
1
7
5.00.0
0
13.0 |
31
27
22.523.4
20
123.9 |17.1318.19
1161
 |
|
1130
1201
71
 |elboalisu
4
3
 |
53
34
23
0.00
 |
2
1
0.50.0
0
3.5 |
33
27
23.512.0
30
125.5 |17.6910.39
978
 |
|
1151
1059
-92
 |gingerisu
3
2
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
7
0
8.51.2
10
26.7 |
38
26
35.58.8
20
128.3 |18.6915.31
1106
 |
|
1281
1274
-7
 |cskallisu
4
5
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
7
0
8.51.2
10
26.7 |
41
27
44.58.0
50
170.5 |33.6835.38
1298
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 75.70 Consensus Standard Deviation: 28.14|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 72.3 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 65.3 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 63.1 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 75.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |