|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 6 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
|
| Max: (49°F) Min: (38°F) Wind (19 knots) Precip: 0.02" - Final Day 6|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 22.7 )logank (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 7.3 )prenti (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 151 )MPHoff (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -293 )srab24 (isu) |
|
Period
|
Forecaster
|
Day 6 Forecast
|
Day 6 Error
|
Cumulative Error
|
Normalized
|
|
Rank
Prev
Change
|Name Sch
Gr
Abs
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
  |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
City
Cumu.
Rank
|
|
41
71
30
|USL12Zxxx
8
|
49
39
22
0.11
|
0
1
1.53.5
0
6.0 |
10
19
13.512.7
0
55.2 |-4.35-1.61
98
|
|
52
29
-23
|USL21Zxxx
8
|
47
35
24
0.07
|
2
3
2.52.0
0
9.5 |
15
17
13.510.8
0
56.3 |-3.94-2.24
53
|
|
234
384
150
| NWSxxx
8
|
53
38
17
0.06
|
4
0
1.01.6
0
6.6 |
17
22
14.011.4
0
64.4 |-0.901.51
436
|
|
300
466
166
|GFSAVNxxx
8
|
53
38
17
0.06
|
4
0
1.01.6
0
6.6 |
22
24
12.57.6
0
66.1 |-0.262.33
520
|
|
649
864
215
|ETANAMxxx
8
|
53
39
18
0.04
|
4
1
0.50.8
0
6.3 |
23
30
11.512.9
0
77.4 |3.981.68
453
|
|
852
565
-287
| NGMxxx
8
|
44
33
21
0.57
|
5
5
1.013.4
0
24.4 |
31
23
15.017.1
0
86.1 |7.242.31
516
|
|
1112
1080
-32
|CLIMO0xxx
8
|
58
33
5
0.00
|
9
5
7.00.8
0
21.8 |
42
25
35.06.0
0
108.0 |15.4518.47
1172
|
|
1137
1111
-26
|CLIMO_xxx
8
|
58
33
5
0.03
|
9
5
7.00.4
0
21.4 |
42
25
35.09.2
0
111.2 |16.6522.72
1219
|
|
1184
1160
-24
|PERSISxxx
8
|
67
38
16
0.14
|
18
0
1.54.4
0
23.9 |
48
35
26.09.6
0
118.6 |19.4316.08
1122
|
|
248
181
-67
|CONSENisu
9
|
54
39
16
0.12
|
5
1
1.53.8
0
11.3 |
19
19
16.010.6
0
64.6 |-0.830.06
270
|
|
317
365
48
|CONSENxxx
9
|
54
38
17
0.11
|
5
0
1.03.5
0
9.5 |
20
20
14.512.3
0
66.8 |0.0014.62
1099
|
|
83
114
31
|prentiisu
3
|
52
35
18
0.04
|
3
3
0.50.8
0
7.3 |
19
17
13.09.6
0
58.6 |-3.08-1.53
106
|
|
93
55
-38
|jhobbsisu
2
|
53
39
17
0.16
|
4
1
1.05.0
0
11.0 |
13
20
14.511.8
0
59.3 |-2.810.07
273
|
|
206
79
-127
|gehrtsisu
3
|
56
38
19
0.23
|
7
0
0.07.1
0
14.1 |
21
17
12.513.1
0
63.6 |-1.20-0.06
256
|
|
Local Consensus
|
|
291
265
-26
|billgaisu
1
|
55
36
17
0.06
|
6
2
1.01.6
0
10.6 |
23
21
15.06.8
0
65.8 |-0.38-0.22
233
|
|
310
235
-75
|rall89isu
4
|
53
41
17
0.12
|
4
3
1.03.8
0
11.8 |
18
24
13.511.0
0
66.5 |-0.11-0.08
255
|
|
National Consensus
|
|
388
265
-123
|omegaxisu
4
|
54
42
18
0.14
|
5
4
0.54.4
0
13.9 |
25
15
19.59.6
0
69.1 |0.862.30
515
|
|
420
452
32
|dfloryisu
1
|
53
36
17
0.12
|
4
2
1.03.8
0
10.8 |
23
24
14.09.0
0
70.0 |1.201.87
476
|
|
424
503
79
|bschweisu
3
|
55
38
16
0.08
|
6
0
1.52.4
0
9.9 |
20
25
13.012.2
0
70.2 |1.280.48
321
|
|
428
463
35
|schaffisu
3
|
52
41
20
0.14
|
3
3
0.54.4
0
10.9 |
19
26
14.510.8
0
70.3 |1.310.72
355
|
|
484
222
-262
|hamhamisu
3
|
57
36
16
0.20
|
8
2
1.56.2
0
17.7 |
20
30
14.57.4
0
71.9 |1.9116.48
1132
|
|
589
296
-293
|srab24isu
4
|
57
39
12
0.23
|
8
1
3.57.1
0
19.6 |
22
18
23.012.3
0
75.3 |3.196.13
796
|
|
597
612
15
|morrisisu
3
|
53
43
13
0.00
|
4
5
3.00.8
0
12.8 |
24
26
18.07.6
0
75.6 |3.301.10
399
|
|
629
723
94
|bengelisu
3
|
53
44
18
0.03
|
4
6
0.50.4
0
10.9 |
20
29
18.09.6
0
76.6 |3.680.08
274
|
|
642
565
-77
|adeppeisu
3
|
52
45
15
0.11
|
3
7
2.03.5
0
15.5 |
27
23
18.58.7
0
77.2 |3.903.72
646
|
|
659
810
151
|MPHoffisu
4
|
48
33
15
0.00
|
1
5
2.00.8
0
8.8 |
17
34
20.56.0
0
77.5 |4.017.55
867
|
|
668
729
61
|jedmonisu
3
1
|
54
43
17
0.04
|
5
5
1.00.8
0
11.8 |
19
19
22.57.2
10
77.7 |4.091.13
401
|
|
714
574
-140
|jddudaisu
3
|
57
40
19
0.25
|
8
2
0.07.7
0
17.7 |
23
26
16.014.5
0
79.5 |4.762.66
562
|
|
796
758
-38
|shomtmisu
3
|
59
37
18
0.15
|
10
1
0.54.7
0
16.2 |
25
26
22.09.9
0
82.9 |6.047.63
874
|
|
871
888
17
|conoanisu
3
|
54
40
22
0.20
|
5
2
1.56.2
0
14.7 |
31
27
14.514.6
0
87.1 |7.611.05
394
|
|
936
998
62
|mcneilisu
3
1
|
55
40
13
0.05
|
6
2
3.01.2
0
12.2 |
17
34
22.57.6
10
91.1 |9.114.48
699
|
|
953
1002
49
|bworthisu
3
1
|
56
40
18
0.10
|
7
2
0.53.2
0
12.7 |
29
28
16.09.2
10
92.2 |9.531.25
416
|
|
953
828
-125
|logankisu
3
|
54
45
10
0.20
|
5
7
4.56.2
0
22.7 |
22
35
23.012.2
0
92.2 |9.5310.21
978
|
|
1059
1056
-3
|gingerisu
3
1
|
57
36
6
0.05
|
8
2
6.51.2
0
17.7 |
31
26
27.07.6
10
101.6 |13.0513.90
1080
|
|
1062
1118
56
|rach87isu
4
2
|
52
36
18
0.20
|
3
2
0.56.2
0
11.7 |
22
21
20.518.4
20
101.9 |13.1711.90
1024
|
|
1133
1197
64
|emilyeisu
4
2
|
48
39
16
0.25
|
1
1
1.57.7
0
11.2 |
30
20
17.523.4
20
110.9 |16.5418.04
1166
|
|
1201
1241
40
|elboalisu
4
3
|
53
44
17
0.04
|
4
6
1.00.8
0
11.8 |
31
26
23.012.0
30
122.0 |20.7011.14
1000
|
|
1274
1253
-21
|cskallisu
4
4
|
58
33
5
0.03
C |
9
5
7.00.4
10
31.4 |
34
27
36.06.8
40
143.8 |28.8834.18
1297
|
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 66.80 Consensus Standard Deviation: 26.66|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 65.8 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 59.3 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 58.6 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 66.5 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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|