|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 5 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (67°F) Min: (38°F) Wind (16 knots) Precip: 0.14" - Final Day 5|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 33.5 )bworth (isu) rach87 (isu) emilye (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 5.2 )hamham (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 377 )hamham (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -582 )bworth (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 5 Forecast
|
Day 5 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
29
76
47
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
69
39
15
0.00
 |
2
1
0.55.2
0
8.7 |
13
14
11.08.8
0
46.8 |-4.59-2.41
42
 |
|
71
170
99
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
69
39
16
0.00
 |
2
1
0.05.2
0
8.2 |
10
18
12.09.2
0
49.2 |-3.54-1.41
116
 |
|
384
202
-182
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
66
44
8
0.00
 |
1
6
4.05.2
0
16.2 |
13
22
13.09.8
0
57.8 |0.221.79
489
 |
|
466
647
181
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
65
41
10
0.09
 |
2
3
3.01.6
0
9.6 |
18
24
11.56.0
0
59.5 |0.962.64
579
 |
|
565
277
-288
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
57
40
10
0.25
 |
10
2
3.03.3
0
18.3 |
26
18
14.03.7
0
61.7 |1.921.14
424
 |
|
864
791
-73
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
70
44
8
0.01
 |
3
6
4.04.8
0
17.8 |
19
29
11.012.1
0
71.1 |6.031.68
468
 |
|
1080
1006
-74
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
58
33
5
0.00
 |
9
5
5.55.2
0
24.7 |
33
20
28.05.2
0
86.2 |12.6417.76
1171
 |
|
1111
1079
-32
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
58
33
5
0.03
 |
9
5
5.54.0
0
23.5 |
33
20
28.08.8
0
89.8 |14.2122.11
1218
 |
|
1160
1191
31
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
72
44
17
0.00
 |
5
6
0.55.2
0
16.7 |
30
35
24.55.2
0
94.7 |16.3515.31
1117
 |
|
181
217
36
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
66
40
9
0.01
 |
1
2
3.54.8
0
11.3 |
14
18
14.56.8
0
53.3 |-1.75-0.17
252
 |
|
365
400
35
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
66
41
10
0.01
 |
1
3
3.04.8
0
11.8 |
15
20
13.58.8
0
57.3 |0.0014.62
1105
 |
|
55
24
-31
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
66
42
10
0.00
 |
1
4
3.05.2
0
13.2 |
9
19
13.56.8
0
48.3 |-3.94-0.21
245
 |
|
79
64
-15
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
67
35
9
0.00
 |
0
3
3.55.2
0
11.7 |
14
17
12.56.0
0
49.5 |-3.41-0.61
201
 |
|
114
94
-20
 |prentiisu
3
 |
65
40
9
0.00
 |
2
2
3.55.2
0
12.7 |
16
14
12.58.8
0
51.3 |-2.62-1.42
112
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
222
599
377
 |hamhamisu
3
 |
68
40
18
0.10
 |
1
2
1.01.2
0
5.2 |
12
28
13.01.2
0
54.2 |-1.3615.67
1124
 |
|
235
170
-65
 |rall89isu
4
 |
68
42
9
0.00
 |
1
4
3.55.2
0
13.7 |
14
21
12.57.2
0
54.7 |-1.14-0.33
234
 |
|
265
307
42
 |billgaisu
1
 |
66
40
10
0.00
 |
1
2
3.05.2
0
11.2 |
17
19
14.05.2
0
55.2 |-0.92-0.35
231
 |
|
265
420
155
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
66
38
10
0.00
 |
1
0
3.05.2
0
9.2 |
20
11
19.05.2
0
55.2 |-0.921.86
496
 |
|
296
283
-13
 |srab24isu
4
 |
64
38
8
0.00
 |
3
0
4.05.2
0
12.2 |
14
17
19.55.2
0
55.7 |-0.705.16
757
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
452
217
-235
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
65
44
8
0.00
 |
2
6
4.05.2
0
17.2 |
19
22
13.05.2
0
59.2 |0.831.78
487
 |
|
463
379
-84
 |schaffisu
3
 |
66
44
10
0.02
 |
1
6
3.04.4
0
14.4 |
16
23
14.06.4
0
59.4 |0.920.62
349
 |
|
503
524
21
 |bschweisu
3
 |
67
43
11
0.00
 |
0
5
2.55.2
0
12.7 |
14
25
11.59.8
0
60.3 |1.310.49
328
 |
|
565
757
192
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
67
38
8
0.00
 |
0
0
4.05.2
0
9.2 |
24
16
16.55.2
0
61.7 |1.923.22
620
 |
|
574
649
75
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
65
42
10
0.06
 |
2
4
3.02.8
0
11.8 |
15
24
16.06.8
0
61.8 |1.971.96
507
 |
|
612
553
-59
 |morrisisu
3
 |
66
43
9
0.00
 |
1
5
3.55.2
0
14.7 |
20
21
15.06.8
0
62.8 |2.401.01
402
 |
|
723
538
-185
 |bengelisu
3
 |
65
44
7
0.00
 |
2
6
4.55.2
0
17.7 |
16
23
17.59.2
0
65.7 |3.670.08
283
 |
|
729
829
100
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
66
39
7
0.00
 |
1
1
4.55.2
0
11.7 |
14
14
21.56.4
10
65.9 |3.761.05
408
 |
|
758
909
151
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
67
42
15
0.00
 |
0
4
0.55.2
0
9.7 |
15
25
21.55.2
0
66.7 |4.117.15
871
 |
|
810
707
-103
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
65
43
6
0.00
 |
2
5
5.05.2
0
17.2 |
16
29
18.55.2
0
68.7 |4.987.79
897
 |
|
828
815
-13
 |logankisu
3
 |
70
40
5
0.00
 |
3
2
5.55.2
0
15.7 |
17
28
18.56.0
0
69.5 |5.339.16
952
 |
|
888
935
47
 |conoanisu
3
 |
65
43
12
0.00
 |
2
5
2.05.2
0
14.2 |
26
25
13.08.4
0
72.4 |6.600.93
394
 |
|
998
1047
49
 |mcneilisu
3
1
 |
65
42
8
0.01
 |
2
4
4.04.8
0
14.8 |
11
32
19.56.4
10
78.9 |9.444.56
720
 |
|
1002
420
-582
 |bworthisu
3
1
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
9
5
5.54.0
10
33.5 |
22
26
15.56.0
10
79.5 |9.711.25
436
 |
|
1056
1133
77
 |gingerisu
3
1
 |
67
40
6
0.00
 |
0
2
5.05.2
0
12.2 |
23
24
20.56.4
10
83.9 |11.6313.55
1080
 |
|
1118
902
-216
 |rach87isu
4
2
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
9
5
5.54.0
10
33.5 |
19
19
20.012.2
20
90.2 |14.3912.21
1039
 |
|
1197
1073
-124
 |emilyeisu
4
2
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
9
5
5.54.0
10
33.5 |
29
19
16.015.7
20
99.7 |18.5418.54
1177
 |
|
1241
1249
8
 |elboalisu
4
3
 |
64
28
9
0.00
 |
3
10
3.55.2
0
21.7 |
27
20
22.011.2
30
110.2 |23.1311.75
1030
 |
|
1253
1197
-56
 |cskallisu
4
3
 |
58
33
5
0.03
C |
9
5
5.54.0
10
33.5 |
25
22
29.06.4
30
112.4 |24.0932.98
1295
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 57.30 Consensus Standard Deviation: 22.87|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 55.2 )billga (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 48.3 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 49.5 )gehrts (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 54.7 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |