|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 4 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (59°F) Min: (35°F) Wind (9 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 4|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 15.2 )jedmon (isu) rach87 (isu) cskall (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 3.0 )jhobbs (isu) billga (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 261 )billga (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -402 )jedmon (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 4 Forecast
|
Day 4 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
76
9
-67
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
65
37
15
0.00
 |
6
2
3.00.0
0
11.0 |
11
13
10.53.6
0
38.1 |-3.89-2.23
56
 |
|
170
14
-156
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
64
39
17
0.00
 |
5
4
4.00.0
0
13.0 |
8
17
12.04.0
0
41.0 |-2.36-1.11
158
 |
|
202
162
-40
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
62
38
11
0.00
 |
3
3
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
12
16
9.04.6
0
41.6 |-2.051.22
436
 |
|
277
491
214
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
60
36
6
0.00
 |
1
1
1.50.0
0
3.5 |
16
16
11.00.4
0
43.4 |-1.100.39
324
 |
|
647
680
33
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
63
37
7
0.00
 |
4
2
1.00.0
0
7.0 |
16
21
8.54.4
0
49.9 |2.312.98
608
 |
|
791
868
77
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
65
35
10
0.00
 |
6
0
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
16
23
7.07.3
0
53.3 |4.101.68
483
 |
|
1006
1092
86
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
60
34
5
0.00
 |
1
1
2.00.0
0
4.0 |
24
15
22.50.0
0
61.5 |8.4016.71
1153
 |
|
1079
1134
55
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
60
34
5
0.03
 |
1
1
2.01.2
0
5.2 |
24
15
22.54.8
0
66.3 |10.9221.28
1216
 |
|
1191
1171
-20
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
60
42
19
0.00
 |
1
7
5.00.0
0
13.0 |
25
29
24.00.0
0
78.0 |17.0715.49
1127
 |
|
217
205
-12
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
62
38
10
0.00
 |
3
3
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
13
16
11.02.0
0
42.0 |-1.84-0.19
265
 |
|
400
403
3
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
62
38
10
0.01
 |
3
3
0.50.4
0
6.9 |
14
17
10.54.0
0
45.5 |0.0014.62
1110
 |
|
24
75
51
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
61
36
9
0.00
 |
2
1
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
8
15
10.51.6
0
35.1 |-5.46-0.59
220
 |
|
64
80
16
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
63
36
10
0.00
 |
4
1
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
14
14
9.00.8
0
37.8 |-4.04-0.77
192
 |
|
94
162
68
 |prentiisu
3
 |
62
35
11
0.00
 |
3
0
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
14
12
9.03.6
0
38.6 |-3.62-1.67
104
 |
|
170
240
70
 |rall89isu
4
 |
62
37
9
0.00
 |
3
2
0.00.0
0
5.0 |
13
17
9.02.0
0
41.0 |-2.36-0.64
213
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
217
205
-12
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
62
38
8
0.00
 |
3
3
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
17
16
9.00.0
0
42.0 |-1.841.11
417
 |
|
283
117
-166
 |srab24isu
4
 |
62
41
11
0.00
 |
3
6
1.00.0
0
10.0 |
11
17
15.50.0
0
43.5 |-1.055.07
759
 |
|
307
568
261
 |billgaisu
1
 |
62
35
9
0.00
 |
3
0
0.00.0
0
3.0 |
16
17
11.00.0
0
44.0 |-0.79-0.32
247
 |
|
379
386
7
 |schaffisu
3
 |
62
37
12
0.00
 |
3
2
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
15
17
11.02.0
0
45.0 |-0.260.32
315
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
420
530
110
 |bworthisu
3
 |
62
37
10
0.00
 |
3
2
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
13
21
10.02.0
0
46.0 |0.260.55
348
 |
|
420
205
-215
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
64
36
18
0.00
 |
5
1
4.50.0
0
10.5 |
19
11
16.00.0
0
46.0 |0.262.15
538
 |
|
524
620
96
 |bschweisu
3
 |
64
35
11
0.00
 |
5
0
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
14
20
9.04.6
0
47.6 |1.100.43
331
 |
|
538
494
-44
 |bengelisu
3
 |
61
39
13
0.00
 |
2
4
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
14
17
13.04.0
0
48.0 |1.310.08
292
 |
|
553
545
-8
 |morrisisu
3
 |
65
36
8
0.00
 |
6
1
0.50.0
0
7.5 |
19
16
11.51.6
0
48.1 |1.370.75
378
 |
|
599
568
-31
 |hamhamisu
3
 |
60
40
5
0.00
 |
1
5
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
11
26
12.00.0
0
49.0 |1.8416.46
1146
 |
|
649
861
212
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
61
36
8
0.00
 |
2
1
0.50.0
0
3.5 |
13
20
13.04.0
0
50.0 |2.362.06
531
 |
|
707
530
-177
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
61
41
15
0.00
 |
2
6
3.00.0
0
11.0 |
14
24
13.50.0
0
51.5 |3.157.33
882
 |
|
757
768
11
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
64
38
9
0.00
 |
5
3
0.00.0
0
8.0 |
24
16
12.50.0
0
52.5 |3.683.66
668
 |
|
815
813
-2
 |logankisu
3
 |
60
40
4
0.00
 |
1
5
2.50.0
0
8.5 |
14
26
13.00.8
0
53.8 |4.368.91
946
 |
|
829
427
-402
 |jedmonisu
3
1
 |
60
34
5
0.03
C |
1
1
2.01.2
10
15.2 |
13
13
17.01.2
10
54.2 |4.571.25
440
 |
|
902
601
-301
 |rach87isu
4
1
 |
60
34
5
0.03
C |
1
1
2.01.2
10
15.2 |
10
14
14.58.2
10
56.7 |5.8810.08
986
 |
|
909
940
31
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
60
40
5
0.00
 |
1
5
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
15
21
21.00.0
0
57.0 |6.047.63
896
 |
|
935
1029
94
 |conoanisu
3
 |
63
36
10
0.00
 |
4
1
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
24
20
11.03.2
0
58.2 |6.670.95
406
 |
|
1047
1099
52
 |mcneilisu
3
1
 |
62
37
8
0.01
 |
3
2
0.50.4
0
5.9 |
9
28
15.51.6
10
64.1 |9.774.64
731
 |
|
1073
1099
26
 |emilyeisu
4
1
 |
60
40
13
0.00
 |
1
5
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
20
14
10.511.7
10
66.2 |10.8716.62
1151
 |
|
1133
1168
35
 |gingerisu
3
1
 |
62
39
9
0.00
 |
3
4
0.00.0
0
7.0 |
23
22
15.51.2
10
71.7 |13.7614.08
1097
 |
|
1197
1158
-39
 |cskallisu
4
2
 |
60
34
5
0.03
C |
1
1
2.01.2
10
15.2 |
16
17
23.52.4
20
78.9 |17.5431.35
1292
 |
|
1249
1235
-14
 |elboalisu
4
3
 |
60
34
5
0.03
C |
1
1
2.01.2
10
15.2 |
24
10
18.56.0
30
88.5 |22.5911.61
1035
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 45.50 Consensus Standard Deviation: 19.04|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 42.0 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 35.1 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 37.8 )gehrts (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 41.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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 |