|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 3 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (60°F) Min: (42°F) Wind (19 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 3|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 26.2 )mcneil (isu) cskall (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 2.3 )gehrts (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 314 )schaff (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -542 )mcneil (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 3 Forecast
|
Day 3 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
9
6
-3
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
61
43
27
0.04
 |
1
1
4.01.6
0
7.6 |
5
11
7.53.6
0
27.1 |-6.42-2.87
22
 |
|
14
6
-8
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
60
42
28
0.10
 |
0
0
4.54.0
0
8.5 |
3
13
8.04.0
0
28.0 |-5.92-2.00
63
 |
|
162
160
-2
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
60
44
18
0.12
 |
0
2
0.54.6
0
7.1 |
9
13
8.04.6
0
34.6 |-2.231.18
422
 |
|
491
910
419
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
60
43
16
0.01
 |
0
1
1.50.4
0
2.9 |
15
15
9.50.4
0
39.9 |0.730.84
380
 |
|
680
728
48
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
64
44
19
0.08
 |
4
2
0.03.2
0
9.2 |
12
19
7.54.4
0
42.9 |2.403.00
614
 |
|
868
608
-260
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
64
44
17
0.21
 |
4
2
1.07.3
0
14.3 |
10
23
6.57.3
0
46.8 |4.581.68
484
 |
|
1092
1096
4
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
61
35
5
0.00
 |
1
7
7.00.0
0
15.0 |
23
14
20.50.0
0
57.5 |10.5517.24
1168
 |
|
1134
1133
-1
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
61
35
5
0.03
 |
1
7
7.01.2
0
16.2 |
23
14
20.53.6
0
61.1 |12.5621.69
1226
 |
|
1171
1113
-58
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
75
39
26
0.00
 |
15
3
3.50.0
0
21.5 |
24
22
19.00.0
0
65.0 |14.7414.91
1124
 |
|
205
298
93
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
61
43
15
0.05
 |
1
1
2.02.0
0
6.0 |
10
13
10.52.0
0
35.5 |-1.73-0.16
256
 |
|
403
596
193
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
62
42
15
0.06
 |
2
0
2.02.4
0
6.4 |
11
14
10.03.6
0
38.6 |0.0014.62
1120
 |
|
75
111
36
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
60
44
15
0.04
 |
0
2
2.01.6
0
5.6 |
6
14
10.51.6
0
32.1 |-3.63-0.13
259
 |
|
80
350
270
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
60
41
18
0.02
 |
0
1
0.50.8
0
2.3 |
10
13
8.50.8
0
32.3 |-3.52-0.64
199
 |
|
117
67
-50
 |srab24isu
4
 |
64
42
10
0.00
 |
4
0
4.50.0
0
8.5 |
8
11
14.50.0
0
33.5 |-2.854.62
732
 |
|
162
135
-27
 |prentiisu
3
 |
58
43
17
0.09
 |
2
1
1.03.6
0
7.6 |
11
12
8.03.6
0
34.6 |-2.23-1.32
129
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
205
402
197
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
63
43
17
0.00
 |
3
1
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
14
13
8.50.0
0
35.5 |-1.731.14
416
 |
|
205
402
197
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
60
41
11
0.00
 |
0
1
4.00.0
0
5.0 |
14
10
11.50.0
0
35.5 |-1.731.65
482
 |
|
240
261
21
 |rall89isu
4
 |
61
45
17
0.05
 |
1
3
1.02.0
0
7.0 |
10
15
9.02.0
0
36.0 |-1.45-0.41
224
 |
|
386
700
314
 |schaffisu
3
 |
60
44
17
0.05
 |
0
2
1.02.0
0
5.0 |
12
15
9.52.0
0
38.5 |-0.060.37
319
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
427
557
130
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
62
43
11
0.00
 |
2
1
4.00.0
0
7.0 |
12
12
15.00.0
0
39.0 |0.220.16
295
 |
|
494
688
194
 |bengelisu
3
 |
58
42
14
0.06
 |
2
0
2.52.4
0
6.9 |
12
13
11.04.0
0
40.0 |0.78-0.02
270
 |
|
530
805
275
 |bworthisu
3
 |
60
44
16
0.05
 |
0
2
1.52.0
0
5.5 |
10
19
9.52.0
0
40.5 |1.060.75
361
 |
|
530
557
27
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
58
37
16
0.00
 |
2
5
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
12
18
10.50.0
0
40.5 |1.066.81
869
 |
|
545
655
110
 |morrisisu
3
 |
59
45
15
0.04
 |
1
3
2.01.6
0
7.6 |
13
15
11.01.6
0
40.6 |1.120.68
351
 |
|
568
735
167
 |billgaisu
1
 |
63
44
15
0.00
 |
3
2
2.00.0
0
7.0 |
13
17
11.00.0
0
41.0 |1.340.21
299
 |
|
568
700
132
 |hamhamisu
3
 |
58
46
16
0.00
 |
2
4
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
10
21
10.00.0
0
41.0 |1.3416.34
1148
 |
|
601
261
-340
 |rach87isu
4
 |
58
45
18
0.20
 |
2
3
0.57.0
0
12.5 |
9
13
12.57.0
0
41.5 |1.629.02
948
 |
|
620
220
-400
 |bschweisu
3
 |
65
44
16
0.12
 |
5
2
1.54.6
0
13.1 |
9
20
8.04.6
0
41.6 |1.680.58
339
 |
|
768
1071
303
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
61
42
15
0.00
 |
1
0
2.00.0
0
3.0 |
19
13
12.50.0
0
44.5 |3.293.57
661
 |
|
813
978
165
 |logankisu
3
 |
59
45
15
0.02
 |
1
3
2.00.8
0
6.8 |
13
21
10.50.8
0
45.3 |3.748.76
944
 |
|
861
805
-56
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
58
45
14
0.10
 |
2
3
2.54.0
0
11.5 |
11
19
12.54.0
0
46.5 |4.412.58
586
 |
|
940
1044
104
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
58
41
8
0.00
 |
2
1
5.50.0
0
8.5 |
14
16
19.00.0
0
49.0 |5.817.57
899
 |
|
1029
1108
79
 |conoanisu
3
 |
65
42
16
0.08
 |
5
0
1.53.2
0
9.7 |
20
19
10.53.2
0
52.7 |7.871.06
407
 |
|
1099
728
-371
 |emilyeisu
4
1
 |
70
39
17
0.35
 |
10
3
1.010.5
0
24.5 |
19
9
8.511.7
10
58.2 |10.9416.64
1155
 |
|
1099
557
-542
 |mcneilisu
3
1
 |
61
35
5
0.03
C |
1
7
7.01.2
10
26.2 |
6
26
15.01.2
10
58.2 |10.944.94
755
 |
|
1158
927
-231
 |cskallisu
4
1
 |
61
35
5
0.03
C |
1
7
7.01.2
10
26.2 |
15
16
21.51.2
10
63.7 |14.0130.46
1291
 |
|
1168
1215
47
 |gingerisu
3
1
 |
60
38
9
0.00
 |
0
4
5.00.0
0
9.0 |
20
18
15.51.2
10
64.7 |14.5714.28
1108
 |
|
1235
1260
25
 |elboalisu
4
2
 |
59
44
13
0.06
 |
1
2
3.02.4
0
8.4 |
23
9
16.54.8
20
73.3 |19.3710.81
1017
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 38.60 Consensus Standard Deviation: 17.91|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 35.5 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 32.1 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 32.3 )gehrts (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 33.5 )srab24 (isu) |
|
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 |