|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 2 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (75°F) Min: (39°F) Wind (26 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 2|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 39.7 )ginger (isu) elboal (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 8.5 )emilye (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 429 )emilye (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -805 )ginger (isu) |
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 2 Forecast
|
Day 2 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
6
45
39
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
73
43
26
0.05
 |
2
4
0.02.0
0
8.0 |
4
10
3.52.0
0
19.5 |-8.38-3.35
17
 |
|
6
60
54
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
75
45
29
0.00
 |
0
6
1.50.0
0
7.5 |
3
13
3.50.0
0
19.5 |-8.38-2.62
39
 |
|
160
410
250
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
71
40
13
0.00
 |
4
1
6.50.0
0
11.5 |
9
11
7.50.0
0
27.5 |-3.100.96
440
 |
|
608
569
-39
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
76
48
15
0.00
 |
1
9
5.50.0
0
15.5 |
6
21
5.50.0
0
32.5 |0.200.74
405
 |
|
728
60
-668
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
69
46
11
0.03
 |
6
7
7.51.2
0
21.7 |
8
17
7.51.2
0
33.7 |0.992.65
627
 |
|
910
477
-433
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
66
43
11
0.00
 |
9
4
7.50.0
0
20.5 |
15
14
8.00.0
0
37.0 |3.171.45
500
 |
|
1096
182
-914
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
61
35
5
0.00
 |
14
4
10.50.0
0
28.5 |
22
7
13.50.0
0
42.5 |6.7916.30
1159
 |
|
1113
1117
4
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
69
32
11
0.00
 |
6
7
7.50.0
0
20.5 |
9
19
15.50.0
0
43.5 |7.4513.09
1094
 |
|
1133
338
-795
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
61
35
5
0.03
 |
14
4
10.51.2
0
29.7 |
22
7
13.52.4
0
44.9 |8.3820.65
1224
 |
|
298
410
112
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
70
40
11
0.00
 |
5
1
7.50.0
0
13.5 |
9
12
8.50.0
0
29.5 |-1.78-0.18
282
 |
|
596
566
-30
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
69
41
13
0.02
 |
6
2
6.50.8
0
15.3 |
9
14
8.01.2
0
32.2 |0.0014.62
1130
 |
|
67
142
75
 |srab24isu
4
 |
72
40
11
0.00
 |
3
1
7.50.0
0
11.5 |
4
11
10.00.0
0
25.0 |-4.754.14
724
 |
|
111
112
1
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
71
41
11
0.00
 |
4
2
7.50.0
0
13.5 |
6
12
8.50.0
0
26.5 |-3.76-0.17
283
 |
|
135
223
88
 |prentiisu
3
 |
69
39
13
0.00
 |
6
0
6.50.0
0
12.5 |
9
11
7.00.0
0
27.0 |-3.43-1.62
105
 |
|
220
339
119
 |bschweisu
3
 |
74
46
16
0.00
 |
1
7
5.00.0
0
13.0 |
4
18
6.50.0
0
28.5 |-2.44-0.45
244
 |
|
261
410
149
 |rall89isu
4
 |
70
38
12
0.00
 |
5
1
7.00.0
0
13.0 |
9
12
8.00.0
0
29.0 |-2.11-0.58
224
 |
|
261
279
18
 |rach87isu
4
 |
72
39
4
0.00
 |
3
0
11.00.0
0
14.0 |
7
10
12.00.0
0
29.0 |-2.118.08
940
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
350
654
304
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
70
37
15
0.00
 |
5
2
5.50.0
0
12.5 |
10
12
8.00.0
0
30.0 |-1.45-0.12
290
 |
|
402
339
-63
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
68
40
12
0.00
 |
7
1
7.00.0
0
15.0 |
11
12
7.50.0
0
30.5 |-1.121.29
479
 |
|
402
731
329
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
67
39
17
0.00
 |
8
0
4.50.0
0
12.5 |
14
9
7.50.0
0
30.5 |-1.121.81
542
 |
|
557
731
174
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
71
39
6
0.00
 |
4
0
10.00.0
0
14.0 |
10
11
11.00.0
0
32.0 |-0.130.07
311
 |
|
557
787
230
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
75
46
13
0.00
 |
0
7
6.50.0
0
13.5 |
5
19
8.00.0
0
32.0 |-0.132.17
580
 |
|
557
731
174
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
72
42
10
0.00
 |
3
3
8.00.0
0
14.0 |
10
13
9.00.0
0
32.0 |-0.136.51
877
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
655
731
76
 |morrisisu
3
 |
69
38
10
0.00
 |
6
1
8.00.0
0
15.0 |
12
12
9.00.0
0
33.0 |0.530.54
381
 |
|
688
569
-119
 |bengelisu
3
 |
69
41
13
0.04
 |
6
2
6.51.6
0
16.1 |
10
13
8.51.6
0
33.1 |0.59-0.07
294
 |
|
700
410
-290
 |schaffisu
3
 |
67
37
11
0.00
 |
8
2
7.50.0
0
17.5 |
12
13
8.50.0
0
33.5 |0.860.60
384
 |
|
700
223
-477
 |hamhamisu
3
 |
68
43
10
0.00
 |
7
4
8.00.0
0
19.0 |
8
17
8.50.0
0
33.5 |0.8616.22
1155
 |
|
728
1157
429
 |emilyeisu
4
1
 |
74
42
17
0.00
 |
1
3
4.50.0
0
8.5 |
9
6
7.51.2
10
33.7 |0.9914.15
1121
 |
|
735
477
-258
 |billgaisu
1
 |
69
43
11
0.00
 |
6
4
7.50.0
0
17.5 |
10
15
9.00.0
0
34.0 |1.190.17
328
 |
|
805
654
-151
 |bworthisu
3
 |
70
44
11
0.00
 |
5
5
7.50.0
0
17.5 |
10
17
8.00.0
0
35.0 |1.850.94
438
 |
|
805
1069
264
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
72
42
12
0.00
 |
3
3
7.00.0
0
13.0 |
9
16
10.00.0
0
35.0 |1.851.93
554
 |
|
927
279
-648
 |cskallisu
4
 |
64
39
3
0.00
 |
11
0
11.50.0
0
22.5 |
14
9
14.50.0
0
37.5 |3.5027.83
1281
 |
|
978
1155
177
 |logankisu
3
 |
71
43
15
0.00
 |
4
4
5.50.0
0
13.5 |
12
18
8.50.0
0
38.5 |4.168.86
970
 |
|
1044
1069
25
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
69
41
5
0.00
 |
6
2
10.50.0
0
18.5 |
12
15
13.50.0
0
40.5 |5.487.49
923
 |
|
1071
845
-226
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
65
36
7
0.00
 |
10
3
9.50.0
0
22.5 |
18
13
10.50.0
0
41.5 |6.144.28
734
 |
|
1108
1132
24
 |conoanisu
3
 |
68
31
17
0.00
 |
7
8
4.50.0
0
19.5 |
15
19
9.00.0
0
43.0 |7.121.05
453
 |
|
1215
410
-805
 |gingerisu
3
1
 |
61
35
5
0.03
C |
14
4
10.51.2
10
39.7 |
20
14
10.51.2
10
55.7 |15.5014.51
1125
 |
|
1260
1157
-103
 |elboalisu
4
2
 |
61
35
5
0.03
C |
14
4
10.51.2
10
39.7 |
22
7
13.52.4
20
64.9 |21.5711.36
1052
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 32.20 Consensus Standard Deviation: 15.16|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 30.5 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 26.5 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 27.0 )prenti (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 25.0 )srab24 (isu) |
|
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 |