|
Local Results for Great Falls, MT Day 1 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
 |
| Max: (69°F) Min: (32°F) Wind (11 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 1|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 25.2 )elboal (isu) emilye (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 13.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 0 )|
| Biggest Decrease : ( 0 )|
|
Period
 |
Forecaster
 |
Day 1 Forecast
|
Day 1 Error
|
Cumulative Error
 |
Normalized
 |
|
Rank
Prev
Change
 |Name Sch
Gr
Abs
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
   |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
 |
City
Cumu.
Rank
 |
|
45
0
0
 |USL21Zxxx
8
 |
71
38
18
0.00
 |
2
6
3.50.0
0
11.5 |
2
6
3.50.0
0
11.5 |-6.92-2.99
12
 |
|
60
0
0
 |USL12Zxxx
8
 |
72
39
15
0.00
 |
3
7
2.00.0
0
12.0 |
3
7
2.00.0
0
12.0 |-6.27-2.09
48
 |
|
60
0
0
 |GFSAVNxxx
8
 |
67
42
11
0.00
 |
2
10
0.00.0
0
12.0 |
2
10
0.00.0
0
12.0 |-6.270.83
430
 |
|
182
0
0
 |CLIMO0xxx
8
 |
61
35
5
0.00
 |
8
3
3.00.0
0
14.0 |
8
3
3.00.0
0
14.0 |-3.7113.68
1127
 |
|
338
0
0
 |CLIMO_xxx
8
 |
61
35
5
0.03
 |
8
3
3.01.2
0
15.2 |
8
3
3.01.2
0
15.2 |-2.1818.01
1212
 |
|
410
0
0
 | NWSxxx
8
 |
74
42
9
0.00
 |
5
10
1.00.0
0
16.0 |
5
10
1.00.0
0
16.0 |-1.151.45
507
 |
|
477
0
0
 | NGMxxx
8
 |
75
42
10
0.00
 |
6
10
0.50.0
0
16.5 |
6
10
0.50.0
0
16.5 |-0.510.53
380
 |
|
569
0
0
 |ETANAMxxx
8
 |
74
44
11
0.00
 |
5
12
0.00.0
0
17.0 |
5
12
0.00.0
0
17.0 |0.130.72
417
 |
|
1117
0
0
 |PERSISxxx
8
 |
66
44
27
0.00
 |
3
12
8.00.0
0
23.0 |
3
12
8.00.0
0
23.0 |7.8113.18
1112
 |
|
410
0
0
 |CONSENisu
9
 |
73
43
13
0.00
 |
4
11
1.00.0
0
16.0 |
4
11
1.00.0
0
16.0 |-1.15-0.02
296
 |
|
566
0
0
 |CONSENxxx
9
 |
72
44
14
0.01
 |
3
12
1.50.4
0
16.9 |
3
12
1.50.4
0
16.9 |0.0014.62
1148
 |
|
112
0
0
 |jhobbsisu
2
 |
71
42
13
0.00
 |
2
10
1.00.0
0
13.0 |
2
10
1.00.0
0
13.0 |-4.99-0.48
230
 |
|
142
0
0
 |srab24isu
4
 |
68
42
6
0.00
 |
1
10
2.50.0
0
13.5 |
1
10
2.50.0
0
13.5 |-4.354.24
752
 |
|
223
0
0
 |prentiisu
3
 |
72
43
12
0.00
 |
3
11
0.50.0
0
14.5 |
3
11
0.50.0
0
14.5 |-3.07-1.53
96
 |
|
223
0
0
 |hamhamisu
3
 |
70
45
10
0.00
 |
1
13
0.50.0
0
14.5 |
1
13
0.50.0
0
14.5 |-3.0715.24
1166
 |
|
279
0
0
 |rach87isu
4
 |
73
42
9
0.00
 |
4
10
1.00.0
0
15.0 |
4
10
1.00.0
0
15.0 |-2.438.00
954
 |
|
279
0
0
 |cskallisu
4
 |
66
41
5
0.00
 |
3
9
3.00.0
0
15.0 |
3
9
3.00.0
0
15.0 |-2.4326.35
1279
 |
|
339
0
0
 |bschweisu
3
 |
72
43
14
0.00
 |
3
11
1.50.0
0
15.5 |
3
11
1.50.0
0
15.5 |-1.79-0.29
252
 |
|
339
0
0
 |dfloryisu
1
 |
73
43
12
0.00
 |
4
11
0.50.0
0
15.5 |
4
11
0.50.0
0
15.5 |-1.791.12
466
 |
|
Local Consensus
 |
|
410
0
0
 |rall89isu
4
 |
73
43
13
0.00
 |
4
11
1.00.0
0
16.0 |
4
11
1.00.0
0
16.0 |-1.15-0.34
244
 |
|
410
0
0
 |schaffisu
3
 |
73
43
13
0.00
 |
4
11
1.00.0
0
16.0 |
4
11
1.00.0
0
16.0 |-1.150.10
313
 |
|
410
0
0
 |gingerisu
3
 |
75
42
11
0.00
 |
6
10
0.00.0
0
16.0 |
6
10
0.00.0
0
16.0 |-1.1510.35
1032
 |
|
477
0
0
 |billgaisu
1
 |
73
43
14
0.00
 |
4
11
1.50.0
0
16.5 |
4
11
1.50.0
0
16.5 |-0.51-0.25
260
 |
|
National Consensus
 |
|
569
0
0
 |bengelisu
3
 |
73
43
15
0.00
 |
4
11
2.00.0
0
17.0 |
4
11
2.00.0
0
17.0 |0.13-0.19
274
 |
|
654
0
0
 |gehrtsisu
3
 |
74
42
16
0.00
 |
5
10
2.50.0
0
17.5 |
5
10
2.50.0
0
17.5 |0.770.43
365
 |
|
654
0
0
 |bworthisu
3
 |
74
44
12
0.00
 |
5
12
0.50.0
0
17.5 |
5
12
0.50.0
0
17.5 |0.770.67
409
 |
|
731
0
0
 |jedmonisu
3
 |
75
43
9
0.00
 |
6
11
1.00.0
0
18.0 |
6
11
1.00.0
0
18.0 |1.410.46
369
 |
|
731
0
0
 |morrisisu
3
 |
75
43
13
0.00
 |
6
11
1.00.0
0
18.0 |
6
11
1.00.0
0
18.0 |1.410.76
424
 |
|
731
0
0
 |omegaxisu
4
 |
75
41
17
0.00
 |
6
9
3.00.0
0
18.0 |
6
9
3.00.0
0
18.0 |1.412.44
629
 |
|
731
0
0
 |MPHoffisu
4
 |
76
42
13
0.00
 |
7
10
1.00.0
0
18.0 |
7
10
1.00.0
0
18.0 |1.416.89
914
 |
|
787
0
0
 |mcneilisu
3
 |
74
44
14
0.00
 |
5
12
1.50.0
0
18.5 |
5
12
1.50.0
0
18.5 |2.052.71
646
 |
|
845
0
0
 |adeppeisu
3
 |
77
42
13
0.00
 |
8
10
1.00.0
0
19.0 |
8
10
1.00.0
0
19.0 |2.693.41
692
 |
|
1069
0
0
 |jddudaisu
3
 |
75
45
17
0.00
 |
6
13
3.00.0
0
22.0 |
6
13
3.00.0
0
22.0 |6.533.11
672
 |
|
1069
0
0
 |shomtmisu
3
 |
75
45
5
0.00
 |
6
13
3.00.0
0
22.0 |
6
13
3.00.0
0
22.0 |6.537.75
940
 |
|
1132
0
0
 |conoanisu
3
 |
77
43
20
0.00
 |
8
11
4.50.0
0
23.5 |
8
11
4.50.0
0
23.5 |8.451.05
454
 |
|
1155
0
0
 |logankisu
3
 |
77
46
17
0.00
 |
8
14
3.00.0
0
25.0 |
8
14
3.00.0
0
25.0 |10.3710.42
1037
 |
|
1157
0
0
 |elboalisu
4
1
 |
61
35
5
0.03
C |
8
3
3.01.2
10
25.2 |
8
3
3.01.2
10
25.2 |10.638.62
978
 |
|
1157
0
0
 |emilyeisu
4
1
 |
61
35
5
0.03
C |
8
3
3.01.2
10
25.2 |
8
3
3.01.2
10
25.2 |10.6316.56
1188
 |
| Verification : Day 1 : 69/32/11/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 67/38/16/0.14
Day 2 : 75/39/26/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 49/38/19/0.02
Day 3 : 60/42/19/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 51/33/22/0.00
Day 4 : 59/35/9/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 57/43/35/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 16.90 Consensus Standard Deviation: 7.81|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 15.5 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 13.0 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 14.5 )prenti (isu) hamham (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 13.5 )srab24 (isu) |
|
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 |