|
Local Results for Wenatchee, WA Day 4 for Iowa State Univ. (ISU)
|
| Max: (33°F) Min: (26°F) Wind (6 knots) Precip: 0.00" - Final Day 4|
| Number of Human Forecasters: 27
|
| Zero Point Day : NONE |
| Most Daily Pts : ( 14.5 )MPHoff (isu) omegax (isu) |
| Least Daily Pts : ( 0.5 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Biggest Increase : ( 313 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Biggest Decrease : ( -591 )MPHoff (isu) |
|
Period
|
Forecaster
|
Day 4 Forecast
|
Day 4 Error
|
Cumulative Error
|
Normalized
|
|
Rank
Prev
Change
|Name Sch
Gr
Abs
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
  |
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
Max
Min
Wind
Precip
Penalty
Total
|
City
Cumu.
Rank
|
|
108
233
125
|ETANAMxxx
8
|
33
27
4
0.00
|
0
1
1.00.0
0
2.0 |
9
9
6.50.0
0
24.5 |-2.440.61
396
|
|
257
160
-97
| NGMxxx
8
|
34
22
4
0.00
|
1
4
1.00.0
0
6.0 |
13
11
3.50.0
0
27.5 |-0.350.43
372
|
|
521
280
-241
| NWSxxx
8
|
30
23
2
0.00
|
3
3
2.00.0
0
8.0 |
6
15
10.00.0
0
31.0 |2.090.59
392
|
|
550
464
-86
|USL21Zxxx
8
|
34
22
9
0.00
|
1
4
1.50.0
0
6.5 |
12
13
6.50.0
0
31.5 |2.44-2.16
87
|
|
631
758
127
|GFSAVNxxx
8
|
32
24
4
0.00
|
1
2
1.00.0
0
4.0 |
13
10
10.00.0
0
33.0 |3.482.94
616
|
|
765
901
136
|CLIMO0xxx
8
|
37
26
7
0.00
|
4
0
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
15
13
8.50.0
0
36.5 |5.9216.85
1155
|
|
765
901
136
|CLIMO_xxx
8
|
37
26
7
0.00
|
4
0
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
15
13
8.50.0
0
36.5 |5.9221.24
1219
|
|
780
565
-215
|USL12Zxxx
8
|
31
19
10
0.00
|
2
7
2.00.0
0
11.0 |
17
12
8.00.0
0
37.0 |6.27-1.53
139
|
|
1185
1221
36
|PERSISxxx
8
|
34
29
8
0.00
|
1
3
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
27
18
16.00.0
0
61.0 |22.9916.56
1150
|
|
150
137
-13
|CONSENisu
9
|
31
24
5
0.00
|
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
9
10
6.50.0
0
25.5 |-1.74-0.37
272
|
|
293
233
-60
|CONSENxxx
9
|
31
23
5
0.00
|
2
3
0.50.0
0
5.5 |
10
12
6.00.0
0
28.0 |0.000.00
320
|
|
55
47
-8
|dfloryisu
1
|
31
24
5
0.00
|
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
11
8
4.00.0
0
23.0 |-3.480.42
371
|
|
89
137
48
|rall89isu
4
|
32
25
4
0.00
|
1
1
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
8
10
6.00.0
0
24.0 |-2.79-0.99
202
|
|
108
98
-10
|morrisisu
3
|
30
27
5
0.00
|
3
1
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
12
9
3.50.0
0
24.5 |-2.44-0.10
305
|
|
108
35
-73
|jedmonisu
3
|
30
23
5
0.00
|
3
3
0.50.0
0
6.5 |
3
13
8.50.0
0
24.5 |-2.44-0.04
316
|
|
129
361
232
|bengelisu
3
|
33
26
4
0.00
|
0
0
1.00.0
0
1.0 |
6
12
7.00.0
0
25.0 |-2.09-0.74
226
|
|
Local Consensus
|
|
180
280
100
|schaffisu
3
|
31
26
4
0.00
|
2
0
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
8
10
8.00.0
0
26.0 |-1.390.65
404
|
|
205
198
-7
|gehrtsisu
3
|
31
24
5
0.00
|
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
8
10
8.50.0
0
26.5 |-1.05-0.96
206
|
|
205
198
-7
|bworthisu
3
|
31
25
3
0.00
|
2
1
1.50.0
0
4.5 |
9
7
10.50.0
0
26.5 |-1.050.74
410
|
|
205
198
-7
|jddudaisu
3
|
32
23
5
0.00
|
1
3
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
8
13
5.50.0
0
26.5 |-1.052.36
570
|
|
National Consensus
|
|
339
310
-29
|mcneilisu
3
|
31
24
4
0.00
|
2
2
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
13
8
7.50.0
0
28.5 |0.354.40
730
|
|
521
565
44
|shomtmisu
3
|
30
25
4
0.00
|
3
1
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
6
15
10.00.0
0
31.0 |2.097.40
894
|
|
521
818
297
|elboalisu
4
|
33
25
6
0.00
|
0
1
0.00.0
0
1.0 |
12
14
5.00.0
0
31.0 |2.098.20
932
|
|
550
645
95
|billgaisu
1
|
31
24
5
0.00
|
2
2
0.50.0
0
4.5 |
13
12
6.50.0
0
31.5 |2.44-0.34
275
|
|
550
863
313
|jhobbsisu
2
|
33
26
5
0.00
|
0
0
0.50.0
0
0.5 |
10
13
8.50.0
0
31.5 |2.44-0.19
294
|
|
550
758
208
|bschweisu
3
|
34
26
9
0.00
|
1
0
1.50.0
0
2.5 |
11
12
8.50.0
0
31.5 |2.441.32
468
|
|
681
901
220
|conoanisu
3
|
32
25
6
0.00
|
1
1
0.00.0
0
2.0 |
15
16
3.00.0
0
34.0 |4.18-0.12
302
|
|
735
405
-330
|hamhamisu
3
|
28
22
2
0.00
|
5
4
2.00.0
0
11.0 |
6
19
10.50.0
0
35.5 |5.2313.92
1091
|
|
751
606
-145
|prentiisu
3
|
30
20
5
0.00
|
3
6
0.50.0
0
9.5 |
12
19
5.00.0
0
36.0 |5.57-1.78
113
|
|
751
160
-591
|MPHoffisu
4
1
|
37
26
7
0.00
C |
4
0
0.50.0
10
14.5 |
5
14
7.00.0
10
36.0 |5.577.40
895
|
|
817
789
-28
|rach87isu
4
|
30
22
3
0.00
|
3
4
1.50.0
0
8.5 |
5
21
12.00.0
0
38.0 |6.9711.48
1032
|
|
892
837
-55
|emilyeisu
4
|
30
20
4
0.00
|
3
6
1.00.0
0
10.0 |
13
17
10.50.0
0
40.5 |8.7117.57
1170
|
|
903
606
-297
|omegaxisu
4
1
|
37
26
7
0.00
C |
4
0
0.50.0
10
14.5 |
9
13
9.00.0
10
41.0 |9.061.89
529
|
|
926
1044
118
|srab24isu
4
1
|
31
26
4
0.00
|
2
0
1.00.0
0
3.0 |
9
15
8.00.0
10
42.0 |9.766.09
829
|
|
945
1027
82
|gingerisu
3
1
|
30
26
2
0.00
|
3
0
2.00.0
0
5.0 |
11
9
13.00.0
10
43.0 |10.4512.35
1058
|
|
969
1044
75
|adeppeisu
3
1
|
30
25
8
0.00
|
3
1
1.00.0
0
5.0 |
15
12
7.00.0
10
44.0 |11.153.45
657
|
|
1219
1213
-6
|logankisu
3
3
|
37
26
7
0.00
C |
4
0
0.50.0
10
14.5 |
17
12
10.00.0
30
69.0 |28.5712.11
1053
|
|
1236
1236
0
|cskallisu
4
4
|
37
26
7
0.00
C |
4
0
0.50.0
10
14.5 |
15
13
8.50.0
40
76.5 |33.7932.89
1300
|
| Verification : Day 1 : 45/20/21/0.00 ...... Day 5 : 53/34/15/0.00
Day 2 : 38/24/6/0.00 ...... Day 6 : 43/30/15/0.00
Day 3 : 34/29/8/0.00 ...... Day 7 : 39/27/9/0.00
Day 4 : 33/26/6/0.00 ...... Day 8 : 37/27/8/0.00
|
| Consensus Score: 28.00 Consensus Standard Deviation: 14.35|
| Leaderboard : Cat 1 ( 23.0 )dflory (isu) |
| Cat 2 ( 31.5 )jhobbs (isu) |
| Cat 3 ( 24.5 )morris (isu) jedmon (isu) |
| Cat 4 ( 24.0 )rall89 (isu) |
|
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|